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@shuanyang
0x1681006e2a5c3ca35767f215947326591180b1c7
4.9
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $428.2K
90-Day Window4.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.5¢ · 27 resolved
- Hit rate
- 58.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$4.2K / $428.2K
- % return
- +1.3%
- Observations
- 29
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+27%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 17
+27%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86,081 | 18.3¢ | 12.5¢ | $10,760 | -$4,987 (-31.7%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 20,000 | 41.0¢ | 18.5¢ | $3,700 | -$4,500 (-54.9%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 17.1¢ | — | 78,326.05 | 0 | — | Aug 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | Yes | 41.0¢ | — | 20,000 | 0 | — | Aug 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 51.0¢ | 86.3¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$3,525 (+69.1%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 4,999.55 | 4,999.55 | +$1,200 (+68.6%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | — | 94.0¢ | 0 | 1,978.85 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.6¢ | 13.0¢ | 703,333.4 | 703,333.4 | +$31,253 (+51.8%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 17.0¢ | 18.2¢ | 357,570.47 | 357,570.47 | +$4,331 (+7.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancefifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 more markets | Spain | 59.3¢ | 77.2¢ | 25,562.63 | 25,562.63 | +$4,589 (+30.3%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | Yes | 36.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$2,850 (+158.3%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 more markets | Over | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | +$3,400 (+51.5%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorefifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 more markets | Yes | 51.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,512.11 | 3,512.11 | +$1,707 (+94.6%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 more markets | Over | 67.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$1,638 (+48.7%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | England | 65.0¢ | 89.7¢ | 39,999.89 | 39,999.89 | +$9,900 (+38.1%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancefifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 more markets | Spain | 73.8¢ | 87.8¢ | 69,999.99 | 69,999.99 | +$9,843 (+19.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancefifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 more markets | France | 77.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 69,999.7 | 69,999.7 | +$15,588 (+28.6%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancefifwc che col 2026 07 07 more markets | Switzerland | 40.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 45,999.39 | 45,999.39 | +$27,180 (+144.4%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancefifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 more markets | Argentina | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999.66 | 49,999.66 | +$7,500 (+17.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?fifwc mex eng | Yes | 40.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$1,482 (+145.6%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancefifwc par fra 2026 07 04 more markets | France | 93.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$3,402 (+7.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancefifwc can mar 2026 07 04 more markets | Morocco | 74.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$1,271 (+34.1%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?fifwc col gha | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999.95 | 4,999.95 | +$1,600 (+47.1%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?fifwc che alg | Yes | 49.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$4,600 (+93.9%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancefifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 more markets | United States | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 27,719.7 | 27,719.7 | +$4,990 (+22.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancefifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 more markets | Belgium | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,000 | 9,000 | +$3,690 (+69.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancefifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 more markets | England | 88.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999.92 | 49,999.92 | +$6,000 (+13.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?fifwc fra swe | Yes | 77.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,999.92 | 25,999.92 | +$5,911 (+29.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancefifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 more markets | France | 89.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 40,355.15 | 40,355.15 | +$4,321 (+12.0%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 more markets | Norway | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,000 | 14,000 | +$5,180 (+58.7%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancefifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 more markets | Brazil | 74.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 18,500 | 18,500 | +$4,703 (+34.1%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 62.0¢ | 72.3¢ | 24,999.99 | 24,999.99 | +$2,583 (+16.7%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 65.3¢ | 99.6¢ | 7,514.44 | 7,514.44 | +$2,578 (+52.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 79.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 23,562 | 23,562 | +$4,841 (+25.9%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 60.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,932.25 | 9,932.25 | +$3,938 (+65.7%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?megaeth market cap fdv one day after launch | No | 17.3¢ | 55.0¢ | 11,566.42 | 11,566.42 | +$4,362 (+218.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?iran x israelus conflict ends by | No | 85.0¢ | 93.2¢ | 18,269.24 | 18,269.24 | +$1,508 (+9.7%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 80.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 26,302.21 | 26,302.21 | +$5,194 (+24.7%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?total commitments for the hurupay public sale on metadao | No | 90.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 23,404.45 | 23,404.45 | +$2,253 (+10.7%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?total commitments for the hurupay public sale on metadao | No | 71.5¢ | 87.1¢ | 8,395.89 | 8,395.89 | +$1,316 (+21.9%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 79.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 13,849.72 | 13,849.72 | +$2,794 (+25.3%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?infinex public sale total commitments | No | 91.6¢ | 99.5¢ | 24,014.45 | 24,014.45 | +$1,894 (+8.6%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?infinex public sale total commitments | No | 75.6¢ | 99.0¢ | 13,231.21 | 13,231.21 | +$3,099 (+31.0%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?lighter market cap fdv one day after launch | No | 2.4¢ | 13.8¢ | 63,845.91 | 63,845.91 | +$7,312 (+479.2%) | Jan 3, 2026 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?lighter market cap fdv one day after launch | Yes | 72.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 8,350 | 8,350 | +$1,503 (+25.0%) | Dec 24, 2025 | |
| Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?gensyn public sale total commitments | No | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,215.68 | 10,215.68 | +$2,247 (+28.2%) | Dec 22, 2025 | |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?gensyn public sale total commitments | No | 88.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 11,369.99 | 11,369.99 | +$1,364 (+13.6%) | Dec 22, 2025 | |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?gensyn public sale total commitments | No | 46.5¢ | 99.4¢ | 16,397.92 | 16,397.92 | +$8,670 (+113.7%) | Dec 20, 2025 | |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?aztec public sale total commitments | No | 20.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 5,008.83 | 5,008.83 | +$3,407 (+340.4%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?aztec public sale total commitments | No | 29.2¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,425.36 | 3,425.36 | +$2,422 (+242.2%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?aztec public sale total commitments | No | 64.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,637.35 | 4,637.35 | +$1,633 (+54.4%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?monad market cap fdv one day after launch | Yes | 35.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 50,394.72 | 50,394.72 | +$12,587 (+71.3%) | Nov 25, 2025 | |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)lol t1 kt | T1 | 66.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 27,566.15 | 27,566.15 | +$9,273 (+50.8%) | Nov 9, 2025 | |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)lol t1 tes | T1 | 75.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 13,500 | 13,500 | +$3,362 (+33.2%) | Nov 2, 2025 | |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?over 1pt8b committed to the megaeth public sale | No | 90.0¢ | 121.5¢ | 10,897.56 | 10,897.56 | +$3,430 (+35.0%) | Oct 30, 2025 |