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0x1231...3e32
0x12315d8f7652cb599f58eea84141ff8b30283e32
5.8
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $2.4K
90-Day Window5.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +16.4¢ · 15 resolved
- Hit rate
- 90.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $731.7 / $2.4K
- % return
- +30.8%
- Observations
- 20
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.12 | 50.7¢ | 48.9¢ | $1 | -$0 (-3.6%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | 49.4¢ | 49.3¢ | 36.43 | 34.31 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?will any ai model reach overall arena score by september 30 | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 623.58 | 0 | +$488 (+360.8%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?which company has the best code arena webdev ai model end of september 20260717140116512 | No | 27.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 223.27 | 223.27 | +$134 (+216.7%) | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?best ai model on september 7 | Yes | 75.4¢ | 94.0¢ | 663.41 | 321.91 | +$139 (+27.4%) | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?next mythos class model text arena debut 20260827110151621 | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 70 | 0 | +$20 (+39.2%) | Sep 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?next mythos class model text arena debut 20260827110151621 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 178.7 | 0 | +$17 (+10.7%) | Sep 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?third best chinese ai company end of august 20260717141230386 | No | 27.1¢ | 92.9¢ | 137.01 | 137.01 | +$89 (+233.0%) | Aug 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?second best chinese ai company end of august 20260717141100971 | No | 35.6¢ | 91.6¢ | 126.54 | 126.53 | +$70 (+150.6%) | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?third best chinese ai company end of august 20260717141230386 | No | 71.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 14.67 | 0 | +$4 (+39.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | No | 17.3¢ | 94.8¢ | 909.18 | 554.57 | +$638 (+393.8%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | Yes | 7.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 160 | 0 | +$67 (+526.5%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | Yes | 48.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 467.31 | 0 | +$239 (+105.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 1 | 0 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? gpt 6 released by | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 40 | 0 | +$4 (+11.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before July 31, 2026?will openai release a new frontier model by | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 539.18 | 0 | +$15 (+2.8%) | Jul 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?will any ai model reach math arena score by june 30 | No | 96.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 120 | 0 | +$4 (+3.6%) | Jun 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released onptptpt 20260623051439980 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 19.1¢ | 158.75 | 158.75 | +$23 (+347.5%) | Jun 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released onptptpt 20260623051439980 | Yes | 4.8¢ | — | 195.7 | 0 | — | Jun 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released onptptpt 20260623051439980 | Yes | 5.0¢ | — | 196.75 | 0 | — | Jun 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?will openai release a new frontier model by | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 185 | 0 | +$6 (+3.2%) | Jun 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?which company has the 2 ai model end of june style control on | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 350 | 0 | +$7 (+2.0%) | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran coup attempt by June 30?iran coup attempt by june 30 | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 0 | +$1 (+2.0%) | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?will openai release a new frontier model by | Yes | 58.3¢ | 23.6¢ | 160 | 160 | -$58 (-61.2%) | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? new stranger things episode released by wednesday | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 146.1 | 0 | +$3 (+2.0%) | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 690 | 0 | +$17 (+2.6%) | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?best ai model on june 13 | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 0 | +$2 (+2.0%) | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?will any ai model reach overall arena score by june 30 | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 0 | +$3 (+5.3%) | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?claude 5 released by | Yes | 89.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 109.01 | 0 | +$11 (+11.2%) | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 42.36 | 0 | +$1 (+2.3%) | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | No | 97.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 120 | 0 | +$3 (+2.6%) | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?claude opus 4pt8 arena debut | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 0 | +$2 (+2.0%) | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?claude opus 4pt8 arena debut | No | 97.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 0 | +$8 (+2.7%) | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?claude opus 4pt8 arena debut | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 454.21 | 0 | +$14 (+3.3%) | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has the best math ai model end of june | No | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 7.65 | 0 | +$0 (+1.7%) | Jun 6, 2026 |