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@Carpfisher
0x054b5e8df41a509f5e176c8e925b7c59e9ed8477
—
/ 10 · 90D
Unclassed
Class · est. size $63.6K
90-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.5¢ · 7 resolved
- Hit rate
- 66.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $6.2K / $63.6K
- % return
- +10.6%
- Observations
- 9
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+1.1K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJun 23
+9.1K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,997.24 | 19.8¢ | 15.3¢ | $1,067 | -$316 (-22.9%) |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 3,337.53 | 23.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $651 | -$139 (-17.6%) |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 965 | 66.0¢ | 59.5¢ | $574 | -$63 (-9.8%) |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,777.99 | 18.0¢ | 17.5¢ | $486 | -$14 (-2.8%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,909.24 | 7.6¢ | 8.9¢ | $439 | +$66 (+17.6%) |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 1,233.99 | 28.0¢ | 24.5¢ | $302 | -$43 (-12.5%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 271.43 | 70.0¢ | 77.5¢ | $210 | +$20 (+10.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?who will visit ukraine by december 31 20260729205841876 | No | 12.5¢ | — | 1,075.99 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?where will trump and putin meet next 678 | No | 28.0¢ | — | 1,233.99 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | Yes | 18.0¢ | — | 2,777.99 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260819 | Yes | 66.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 1,000 | 35 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 70.0¢ | — | 271.43 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump and Putin not meet?where will trump and putin meet next 678 | Yes | 23.7¢ | 32.0¢ | 3,345 | 7.47 | — | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 7.6¢ | — | 4,909.24 | 0 | — | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | 19.8¢ | — | 6,997.24 | 0 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the house in 2026 | Yes | 13.3¢ | 11.6¢ | 29,999.96 | 34,999.89 | — | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the house in 2026 | No | 13.0¢ | 13.9¢ | 11,549.38 | 28,640.86 | +$374 (+1.9%) | Aug 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?which cities will russia enter by june 30 | No | 69.6¢ | 98.9¢ | 22,858.8 | 22,858.8 | +$6,693 (+42.1%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 15.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 57,332.87 | 57,332.87 | +$573 (+6.7%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?will russia capture sofiivka by february 28 | No | 51.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,179.43 | 1,179.43 | +$578 (+96.2%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?will russia capture all of vovchansk by | No | 58.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,245.34 | 1,245.34 | +$515 (+70.5%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?will russia capture toretske by | No | 64.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,521.83 | 1,521.83 | +$548 (+56.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 37.6¢ | 47.1¢ | 15,296.14 | 15,296.14 | +$1,454 (+25.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by | No | 49.6¢ | 83.3¢ | 4,390.95 | 4,390.95 | +$1,483 (+68.1%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | No | 63.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 7,999.98 | 7,999.98 | +$1,040 (+20.6%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 26.7¢ | 38.5¢ | 4,308.57 | 4,308.57 | +$511 (+44.5%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by | No | 61.8¢ | 91.9¢ | 2,286.98 | 2,286.98 | +$688 (+48.7%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?will russia capture rodynske by september 15 | No | 42.0¢ | 72.8¢ | 2,232.99 | 2,232.99 | +$687 (+73.3%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?will russia enter sofiivka by january 31 | No | 23.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$384 (+331.2%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 62.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,300 | 3,300 | +$1,254 (+61.3%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?will russia capture all of pokrovsk by september 30 | No | 36.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,400 | 1,400 | +$896 (+177.8%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?will russia capture all of vovchansk by | No | 70.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,420.42 | 2,420.42 | +$716 (+42.0%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?will russia capture lyman in 2025 | No | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,620 | 1,620 | +$632 (+63.9%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia | No | 87.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,921.46 | 2,921.46 | +$368 (+14.4%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?russia x ukraine ceasefire in 2025 | No | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,200 | 12,200 | +$2,196 (+22.0%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?will putin meet with trump by first 100 days | Yes | 21.0¢ | 30.7¢ | 7,922.95 | 7,922.95 | +$769 (+46.2%) | Apr 30, 2025 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?what price will ethereum hit by march 31 | Yes | 3.4¢ | 4.2¢ | 52,977.89 | 52,977.89 | +$419 (+23.3%) | Apr 5, 2025 | |
| Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?will russia pull out of syria | Yes | 56.0¢ | 81.5¢ | 1,420.02 | 1,420.02 | +$362 (+45.6%) | Apr 1, 2025 | |
| Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?will russia pull out of syria | No | 35.0¢ | 51.6¢ | 2,094.34 | 2,094.34 | +$349 (+47.6%) | Apr 1, 2025 | |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? energy infrastructure ceasefire in ukraine in march | Yes | 47.0¢ | 97.3¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$503 (+106.9%) | Mar 29, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?what price will bitcoin hit by march 31 | Yes | 18.0¢ | 26.7¢ | 12,699.98 | 12,699.98 | +$1,101 (+48.2%) | Feb 28, 2025 | |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?yoon out as president of south korea in 2024 | Yes | 4.2¢ | 4.8¢ | 66,999.62 | 66,999.62 | +$412 (+14.6%) | Jan 4, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?what price will bitcoin hit in december | Yes | 19.0¢ | 45.2¢ | 4,443.99 | 4,443.99 | +$1,166 (+138.2%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?what price will ethereum hit in december | Yes | 7.0¢ | 16.9¢ | 10,299.17 | 10,299.17 | +$1,024 (+142.0%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?what price will bitcoin hit in december | Yes | 6.0¢ | 7.3¢ | 32,555.3 | 32,555.3 | +$421 (+21.6%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?russia x ukraine ceasefire in 2024 | No | 95.0¢ | 99.4¢ | 28,469.44 | 28,469.44 | +$1,255 (+4.6%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?will russia capture pokrovsk in 2024 | No | 93.6¢ | 97.5¢ | 14,999.99 | 14,999.99 | +$583 (+4.2%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?will ukraine hold kursk through 2024 | Yes | 94.0¢ | 96.5¢ | 40,259.87 | 40,259.87 | +$1,004 (+2.7%) | Jan 1, 2025 | |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?another iran strike on israel in 2024 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 8.6¢ | 28,049.95 | 28,049.95 | +$459 (+23.4%) | Jan 1, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?will bitcoin hit 90k or 100k first | 100k | 47.4¢ | 55.4¢ | 9,339.39 | 9,339.39 | +$743 (+16.8%) | Dec 5, 2024 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?will bitcoin hit 100k by friday 12 6 | Yes | 33.5¢ | 35.0¢ | 25,168.26 | 25,168.26 | +$377 (+4.5%) | Dec 5, 2024 | |
| Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?will ruusia capture chasiv yar before december | No | 88.3¢ | 98.6¢ | 20,693.14 | 20,693.14 | +$2,132 (+11.7%) | Dec 1, 2024 | |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?will russia recapture sudzha before december | No | 90.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 6,898.83 | 6,898.83 | +$667 (+10.7%) | Dec 1, 2024 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?what price will bitcoin hit in november | Yes | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | 103,213.85 | 103,213.85 | +$630 (+13.6%) | Dec 1, 2024 | |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?jake paul vs mike tyson who will win | No | 64.2¢ | 99.6¢ | 9,164 | 9,164 | +$3,238 (+55.0%) | Nov 16, 2024 | |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?jake paul vs mike tyson who will win | Yes | 58.0¢ | 67.7¢ | 13,296.97 | 13,296.97 | +$1,287 (+16.7%) | Nov 16, 2024 | |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?jake paul vs mike tyson who will win | Yes | 7.3¢ | 7.9¢ | 1,642,125.06 | 1,642,125.06 | +$9,320 (+7.7%) | Nov 16, 2024 | |
| Will Trump win no swing states?how many swing states will trump win | No | 91.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 6,815.86 | 6,815.86 | +$543 (+8.8%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?will kamala harris win every swing state | No | 86.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$524 (+15.2%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?israel strikes iranian oil in october | Yes | 8.8¢ | 11.4¢ | 17,561.75 | 17,561.75 | +$472 (+30.7%) | Nov 1, 2024 | |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?will ukraine hold kursk through october 31 | Yes | 95.2¢ | 99.7¢ | 10,931.31 | 10,931.31 | +$500 (+4.8%) | Nov 1, 2024 | |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October?another iran strike on israel in october | No | 77.0¢ | 86.6¢ | 5,228.4 | 5,228.4 | +$504 (+12.5%) | Nov 1, 2024 | |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?israel military action against iran by end of 2024 | Yes | 89.6¢ | 97.3¢ | 19,696.46 | 19,696.46 | +$1,518 (+8.6%) | Oct 26, 2024 | |
| Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?israel military response against iran by sunday | No | 69.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,365.46 | 2,365.46 | +$722 (+44.0%) | Oct 7, 2024 | |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?will israel enter lebanon before November | Yes | 92.0¢ | 97.5¢ | 7,187.83 | 7,187.83 | +$395 (+6.0%) | Oct 6, 2024 | |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?israeli forces enters lebanon in september | Yes | 97.2¢ | 99.4¢ | 20,206.42 | 20,206.42 | +$443 (+2.3%) | Oct 4, 2024 |