◆ Contact Dossier
@99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
6.0
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $1.1M
90-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.4¢ · 100 resolved
- Hit rate
- 39.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$203.2K / $1.1M
- % return
- -18.1%
- Observations
- 188
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+115%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 1
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? · Yes13.6¢ → 100.0¢+634%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | No | 77,661.79 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | $5,825 | +$388 (+7.1%) |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 58,242.54 | 62.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $40,473 | +$3,928 (+10.7%) |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 17,756.85 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $9 | -$29 (-76.4%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 13,221.29 | 26.3¢ | 15.5¢ | $2,049 | -$1,425 (-41.0%) |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | No | 6,953.11 | 28.1¢ | 29.3¢ | $2,034 | +$80 (+4.1%) |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 2,623.83 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | $20 | -$0 (-0.4%) |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 1,852.37 | 2.7¢ | 4.2¢ | $78 | +$28 (+54.7%) |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,633.04 | 74.3¢ | 16.5¢ | $269 | -$944 (-77.8%) |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 883.19 | 14.0¢ | 78.0¢ | $689 | +$565 (+457.1%) |
| Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 854.81 | 67.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $816 | +$244 (+42.5%) |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 660.4 | 66.5¢ | 65.0¢ | $429 | -$10 (-2.3%) |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | Yes | 564.18 | 42.8¢ | 50.0¢ | $282 | +$40 (+16.7%) |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 475.81 | 71.1¢ | 17.5¢ | $83 | -$255 (-75.4%) |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 366.98 | 5.9¢ | 7.0¢ | $26 | +$4 (+19.4%) |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 251 | 51.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $237 | +$107 (+82.3%) |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 14.63 | 23.6¢ | 74.0¢ | $11 | +$7 (+213.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | No | 28.1¢ | — | 6,953.11 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | No | 7.0¢ | — | 77,661.79 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | Yes | 0.8¢ | — | 2,623.83 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | Yes | 2.7¢ | — | 1,852.37 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 42.8¢ | — | 564.18 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?largest company end of july 20260624192302727 | No | 22.0¢ | — | 3,999.42 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 75.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 0 | -$2,570 (-33.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | France vs. Spain: Team to Advancefifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 more markets | France | 57.8¢ | 9.6¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | -$9,635 (-83.4%) | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 10.0¢ | — | 50,000 | 0 | — | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 21.2¢ | — | 1,186.76 | 0 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?which company has best ai model end of july 299 | No | 12.6¢ | — | 12,430.29 | 0 | — | Jul 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?which company has best ai model end of july 299 | Yes | 10.0¢ | — | 61.61 | 0 | — | Jul 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released onptptpt 20260626213101460 | Yes | 13.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,962.48 | 0 | +$2,559 (+634.4%) | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 67.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,115.34 | 1,115.34 | +$361 (+47.9%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 66.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,382.46 | 1,382.46 | +$463 (+50.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 1.1¢ | 0 | 19,004.69 | — | Jul 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 13.8¢ | — | 10,690.2 | 0 | — | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 56.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 24.39 | 24.39 | +$11 (+77.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | No | 55.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,919.35 | 1,919.35 | +$848 (+79.1%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 22,391.57 | 22,391.57 | -$853 (-100.0%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | No | 85.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 974.43 | 974.43 | +$139 (+16.7%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 73.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,339.99 | 2,339.99 | +$617 (+35.8%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 73.4¢ | 88.9¢ | 3,831.89 | 3,831.89 | +$596 (+21.2%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 34.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 849.56 | 849.56 | +$128 (+43.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 43.9¢ | 49.6¢ | 10,666.36 | 10,666.36 | +$605 (+12.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 85.0¢ | 92.5¢ | 22,390.87 | 22,390.87 | +$1,689 (+8.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 54.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 6,508.67 | 6,508.67 | -$279 (-7.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 62.5¢ | 92.4¢ | 195,249.64 | 195,249.64 | +$58,393 (+47.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5)fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 more markets | Cabo Verde | 27.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999.98 | 4,999.98 | +$3,650 (+270.4%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 37.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 17,037.31 | 17,037.31 | +$10,635 (+166.1%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 46.2¢ | 64.3¢ | 10,754.98 | 10,754.98 | +$1,944 (+39.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 88.8¢ | 68.2¢ | 43,040.08 | 43,040.08 | -$8,878 (-23.2%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 21.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 825.57 | 825.57 | +$645 (+357.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?claude mythos released by | Yes | 26.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$367 (+275.9%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 71.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 679.05 | 679.05 | +$191 (+39.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?claude 5 released by | Yes | 39.2¢ | 79.5¢ | 34,324.64 | 34,324.64 | +$13,836 (+102.9%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 73.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,245.81 | 1,245.81 | +$327 (+35.6%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | No | 83.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | -$6,780 (-40.4%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 15.8¢ | 33.9¢ | 39,126.49 | 39,126.49 | +$7,083 (+114.6%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 51.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,217.01 | 4,217.01 | -$79 (-3.6%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?spacex ipo closing market cap | No | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 627.66 | 627.66 | +$113 (+22.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?spacex ipo closing market cap | No | 88.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$119 (+13.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | No | 14.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 423.62 | 423.62 | +$153 (+257.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 53.1¢ | 451.93 | 451.93 | -$144 (-37.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?spacex ipo by | Yes | 74.0¢ | 78.1¢ | 4,449.12 | 4,449.12 | +$182 (+5.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?spacex ipo by | No | 18.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,949.67 | 1,949.67 | +$606 (+164.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?spacex ipo by | Yes | 74.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 732.34 | 732.34 | +$187 (+34.4%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?ucl psg ars | No | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,315.75 | 30,315.75 | +$91 (+0.3%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | Yes | 13.9¢ | 32.1¢ | 39,410.17 | 39,410.17 | +$7,164 (+130.7%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | No | 20.2¢ | 42.7¢ | 10,331.55 | 10,331.55 | +$2,327 (+111.4%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?new gemini reasoning flagship released by | No | 22.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,488.73 | 3,488.73 | +$2,719 (+353.0%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 40.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 19,491.22 | 19,491.22 | +$1,944 (+24.9%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | No | 48.0¢ | 51.3¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$654 (+6.8%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the best math ai model end of may | No | 46.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 314.33 | 314.33 | +$169 (+116.0%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the best ai model end of may | No | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,465.53 | 1,465.53 | +$110 (+8.1%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?ucl psg ars | No | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,005.97 | 6,005.97 | +$18 (+0.3%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 60.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,571.01 | 2,571.01 | -$261 (-16.9%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | No | 86.0¢ | 69.4¢ | 29,999.99 | 29,999.99 | -$4,976 (-19.3%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 13.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,227.12 | 9,227.12 | +$8,019 (+663.7%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 27.6¢ | 59.8¢ | 6,826.66 | 6,826.66 | +$2,204 (+117.2%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?us x iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends | No | 87.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,427.6 | 3,427.6 | +$421 (+14.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?texas senate election matchup 877 | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 287.36 | 287.36 | +$221 (+334.8%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 7.5¢ | 18.7¢ | 8,690 | 8,690 | +$974 (+149.6%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 931.16 | 931.16 | +$9 (+1.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 38.3¢ | 51.9¢ | 5,197.68 | 5,197.68 | +$707 (+35.5%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 23.5¢ | 28.0¢ | 11,323.38 | 11,323.38 | +$509 (+19.1%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 9.3¢ | 7.2¢ | 3,012.62 | 3,012.62 | -$63 (-22.5%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 36.6¢ | 4.3¢ | 30,173.79 | 30,173.79 | -$9,747 (-88.4%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 69.6¢ | 57.2¢ | 10,813.18 | 10,813.18 | -$1,339 (-17.8%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 41.0¢ | 9.0¢ | 1,082.45 | 1,082.45 | -$346 (-78.0%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 85.8¢ | 91.1¢ | 425.96 | 425.96 | +$23 (+6.2%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?lead bank in spacexs ipo 836 | No | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 581.51 | 581.51 | +$314 (+117.4%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,555.64 | 16,555.64 | +$765 (+4.8%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 13.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 76.02 | 76.02 | +$28 (+267.4%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 54.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,723.63 | 3,723.63 | -$165 (-8.2%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 83.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 267.06 | 267.06 | -$88 (-39.8%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?new gemini reasoning flagship released by | No | 45.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,962.95 | 1,962.95 | +$1,062 (+117.9%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 34.2¢ | 66.7¢ | 49,264.72 | 49,264.72 | +$16,010 (+95.1%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 25.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 113.5 | 113.5 | +$85 (+300.0%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 25.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 86.99 | 86.99 | +$65 (+300.0%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?ky 04 republican primary winner | No | 26.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$7,350 (+277.4%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?next google gemini model arena debut | No | 83.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,065.46 | 3,065.46 | +$497 (+19.4%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 25.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,079.6 | 1,079.6 | +$800 (+285.5%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?jerome powell out as fed chair by | No | 73.9¢ | 91.3¢ | 5,912.18 | 5,912.18 | +$1,026 (+23.5%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?ky 04 republican primary winner | Yes | 25.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,911.58 | 1,911.58 | +$1,427 (+294.3%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?jerome powell out as fed chair by | Yes | 73.2¢ | 92.5¢ | 6,836.47 | 6,836.47 | +$1,316 (+26.3%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 78.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,698.41 | 2,698.41 | -$755 (-35.9%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 50.9¢ | 58.5¢ | 10,568.48 | 10,568.48 | +$806 (+15.0%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 74.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 67,157.4 | 67,157.4 | -$7,442 (-15.0%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?jerome powell out as fed chair by | Yes | 70.0¢ | 38.7¢ | 10,999.99 | 10,999.99 | -$3,443 (-44.7%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | No | 80.0¢ | 79.4¢ | 23,880.97 | 23,880.97 | -$139 (-0.7%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?discord ipo closing market cap | Yes | 73.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 6,280.74 | 6,280.74 | +$1,688 (+36.8%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?discord ipo closing market cap | No | 92.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 25.78 | 25.78 | -$11 (-45.8%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | No | 27.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 980.28 | 980.28 | +$218 (+80.2%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?gemini 3pt5 released by june 30 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 414.57 | 414.57 | +$153 (+284.9%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | No | 88.1¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,054.5 | 2,054.5 | -$782 (-43.2%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?billionaire one time wealth tax passes in california election 2026 | Yes | 34.6¢ | 52.3¢ | 21,143.07 | 21,143.07 | +$3,734 (+51.0%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?epstein suicide note released by | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0.2¢ | 5,546 | 5,546 | -$296 (-96.4%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | No | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 300,000 | 300,000 | -$300 (-100.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | Yes | 97.6¢ | 97.6¢ | 205,496.32 | 205,496.32 | +$101 (+0.1%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?best ai model on may 1 style control off | No | 93.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,043.09 | 1,043.09 | +$66 (+6.8%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?best ai model on may 1 style control off | Yes | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,326.86 | 10,326.86 | +$771 (+8.1%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?spx up or down on may 7 2026 | Down | 22.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,139.58 | 1,139.58 | +$889 (+354.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?what price will bitcoin hit in april 2026 | No | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$680 (+20.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?what will be the top global netflix show this week 712 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 242.02 | 242.02 | +$48 (+25.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?what price will bitcoin hit in april 2026 | Yes | 15.5¢ | 0.3¢ | 11,826.76 | 11,826.76 | -$1,792 (-97.8%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?next prime minister of hungary | No | 82.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 53,286.21 | 53,286.21 | +$9,258 (+21.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 700.39 | 700.39 | +$630 (+900.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | Yes | 73.2¢ | 99.0¢ | 1,515.45 | 1,515.45 | +$391 (+35.2%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the best math ai model end of april | Yes | 8.8¢ | 18.1¢ | 45,316.22 | 45,316.22 | +$4,225 (+105.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?clavicular pregnancy in 2026 | Yes | 99.6¢ | 75.2¢ | 4,041.09 | 4,041.09 | -$985 (-24.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the best ai model end of april | Yes | 99.9¢ | 85.7¢ | 41,922.56 | 41,922.56 | -$5,936 (-14.2%) | May 1, 2026 |