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@basedcigany
0x0015c5a76490d303e837d79dd5cf6a3825e4d5b0
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $1.3M
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -0.0¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 51.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $157.1 / $1.3M
- % return
- +0.0%
- Observations
- 45
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-4.1K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJun 23
-4.1K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3,500.01 | 98.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $3,460 | -$2 (-0.1%) |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2,410.93 | 97.7¢ | 97.7¢ | $2,354 | -$2 (-0.1%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 98.5¢ | 98.6¢ | 3,501 | 3,500.68 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 98.8¢ | 98.9¢ | 106,546.07 | 5,499.9 | +$134 (+0.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 98.9¢ | — | 3,500 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?total commitments for the ripcars public sale on metadao 20260720205129593 | Yes | 6.1¢ | — | 3,864.18 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?total commitments for the ripcars public sale on metadao 20260720205129593 | Yes | 2.8¢ | — | 4,154.33 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | — | 97.6¢ | 0 | 803.64 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: Otherbalance of power 2026 midterms | No | 99.2¢ | 99.4¢ | 153,458.38 | 50.65 | +$117 (+0.1%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?2026 taiwanese local elections party winner | No | — | 98.9¢ | 0 | 149.25 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?next prime minister of ethiopia | No | 99.4¢ | 99.7¢ | 2,783.52 | 2,999.97 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?next prime minister of ethiopia | No | — | 99.8¢ | 0 | 2,742.43 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 98.6¢ | 98.6¢ | 301,218.26 | 4,483.6 | +$92 (+0.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 98.2¢ | 98.3¢ | 47,274.78 | 47,274.78 | +$46 (+0.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 98.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 56,285 | 56,285 | +$56 (+0.1%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 97.2¢ | 97.3¢ | 110,880.73 | 110,880.73 | +$93 (+0.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779572100 | Down | 16.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 59.03 | 59.03 | +$49 (+490.3%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?next prime minister of hungary | No | 97.2¢ | 97.3¢ | 101,383.32 | 101,383.32 | +$63 (+0.1%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | Yes | 98.7¢ | 99.4¢ | 30,415.51 | 30,415.51 | +$200 (+0.7%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETbtc updown 5m 1777051800 | Down | 49.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$255 (+104.1%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?hungary parliamentary election 3rd place | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,163.48 | 6,163.48 | +$195 (+3.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?next prime minister of hungary | No | 99.9¢ | 101.6¢ | 21,050.28 | 21,050.28 | +$358 (+1.7%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 98.7¢ | 98.9¢ | 41,480.08 | 41,480.08 | +$46 (+0.1%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 98.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 60,086.89 | 60,086.89 | +$65 (+0.1%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETbtc updown 5m 1775320500 | Up | 48.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 104.17 | 104.17 | +$54 (+108.3%) | Apr 4, 2026 | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerlol blg fox1 | BNK FEARX | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$120 (+150.0%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 98.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 70,739.02 | 70,739.02 | +$65 (+0.1%) | Mar 15, 2026 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 95.3¢ | 95.5¢ | 25,687.59 | 25,687.59 | +$51 (+0.2%) | Mar 13, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 | Yes | 8.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$46 (+1090.5%) | Jan 13, 2026 | |
| Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?trove public sale total commitments | Yes | 30.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 250 | 250 | +$173 (+224.4%) | Jan 11, 2026 | |
| Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?trove public sale total commitments | Yes | 81.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 350.9 | 350.9 | +$65 (+22.8%) | Jan 11, 2026 | |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$205 (+69.5%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 | Yes | 4.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 78.54 | 78.54 | +$75 (+2071.7%) | Jan 6, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?elon musk of tweets december 23 december 30 | Yes | 7.3¢ | 53.8¢ | 200 | 200 | +$93 (+636.3%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?elon musk of tweets december 19 december 26 | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$82 (+455.6%) | Dec 27, 2025 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?elon musk of tweets december 16 december 23 | Yes | 12.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 74.05 | 74.05 | +$65 (+716.1%) | Dec 23, 2025 | |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorboxing andrew tate vs chase demoor | Demoor | 13.9¢ | 62.8¢ | 450 | 450 | +$220 (+350.3%) | Dec 21, 2025 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?elon musk of tweets december 12 december 19 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$89 (+809.1%) | Dec 19, 2025 | |
| Will US Cremonese vs. AS Roma end in a draw?sea cre rom | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 60,720.69 | 60,720.69 | +$61 (+0.1%) | Nov 23, 2025 | |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Maverickscbb camp txa | Campbell Fighting Camels | 54.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 100 | 100 | +$46 (+85.0%) | Nov 21, 2025 | |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?epl mac liv | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 65,000 | 65,000 | +$65 (+0.1%) | Nov 9, 2025 | |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)lol t1 kt | T1 | 33.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 499.97 | 499.97 | +$130 (+78.8%) | Nov 9, 2025 | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?ucl psg bay | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$50 (+0.1%) | Nov 5, 2025 | |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?over 1pt8b committed to the megaeth public sale | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 52,996.42 | 52,996.42 | +$106 (+0.2%) | Oct 30, 2025 | |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?over 1pt8b committed to the megaeth public sale | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 32,026.92 | 32,026.92 | +$64 (+0.2%) | Oct 30, 2025 | |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?lal rea bar | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,994 | 49,994 | +$50 (+0.1%) | Oct 26, 2025 | |
| Will Gaziantep FK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?tur gfk ant | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$50 (+1.0%) | Oct 19, 2025 | |
| Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-18?lal vil bet | No | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,701.47 | 5,701.47 | +$64 (+1.1%) | Oct 18, 2025 | |
| Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-18?ere psv goa | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,250 | 3,250 | +$52 (+1.6%) | Oct 18, 2025 | |
| Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-18?bun mai b04 | No | 98.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 21,188.95 | 21,188.95 | +$263 (+1.3%) | Oct 18, 2025 | |
| Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-10-17?den sif kob | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,601.37 | 14,601.37 | +$208 (+1.4%) | Oct 17, 2025 | |
| Rams vs. Ravensnfl la bal | Rams | 99.9¢ | 100.4¢ | 22,255.37 | 22,255.37 | +$121 (+0.5%) | Oct 12, 2025 | |
| D4vd arrested by September 30?d4vd arrested by september 30 | No | 98.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 8,346.87 | 8,346.87 | +$108 (+1.3%) | Oct 1, 2025 | |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?tur ala gal | Yes | 98.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,793.07 | 3,793.07 | +$54 (+1.4%) | Sep 26, 2025 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?fl1 olm psg | No | 98.2¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,764.38 | 2,764.38 | +$46 (+1.7%) | Sep 22, 2025 | |
| Chiefs vs. Giantsnfl kc nyg | Chiefs | 96.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 27,195.28 | 27,195.28 | +$926 (+3.5%) | Sep 22, 2025 | |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?when will gpt 5 be released | No | 99.9¢ | 100.1¢ | 21,191.84 | 21,191.84 | +$53 (+0.3%) | Aug 1, 2025 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | Yes | 54.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,372.12 | 9,372.12 | +$4,290 (+84.4%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?will kamala go on joe rogan before election | No | 70.0¢ | 97.2¢ | 213.92 | 213.92 | +$58 (+38.9%) | Nov 3, 2024 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?fed interest rates september 2024 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 68.1¢ | 366.61 | 366.61 | +$118 (+89.2%) | Sep 19, 2024 |