World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
View on PolymarketPrice History
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 2 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net buying ($1.1K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: BigRabbit bought $1.1K YES at 22¢ on Jun 22.
- BUYYESBigRabbit#4722¢$1.1KJun 22
- BUYYESitsallupnow#6315¢$146.3Jun 12
- SELLYESitsallupnow#6316¢$96Jun 15
- BUYYESitsallupnow#6315¢$70.3Jun 12
- SELLYESitsallupnow#6316¢$47.9Jun 15
- SELLYESitsallupnow#6316¢$47.9Jun 15
- BUYYESitsallupnow#6315¢$45Jun 12
- SELLYESitsallupnow#6316¢$23.9Jun 15
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.34). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $442.7 across 4 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | @BigRabbit Rank #477.3 SIG | YES | open | 5,000 | 22.0¢ | $1,525 | +$425 +38.6% | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| @0xrandd8 Rank #129.2 SIG | YES | closed | 1,000 | 23.0¢ | — | -$0 -0.0% | Jun 18, 2026 | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| 0x5bb5...abf6 Rank #328.4 SIG | YES | closed | 5,000 | 16.0¢ | — | +$0 0.0% | Jun 5, 2026 | Jun 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | @itsallupnow Rank #637.0 SIG | YES | closed | 1,768.9 | 15.0¢ | — | +$18 +6.7% | Jun 12, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 |