Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
View on PolymarketYES Price
94.4¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
1.0¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$243.7K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$9.3K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
2
1 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
90%
of tracked capital
Price History
$50M$100M$200MWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 5 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
0x1ca4...f2d4#90
89.8%$1.2K
0xba3c...2e4e#96
10.2%$134.9
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.82). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net -$38.2 across 2 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount50% / 50%
one wallet, one vote
By capital90% / 10%
weighted by committed $
By skill48% / 52%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1ca4...f2d4 Rank #906.2 SIG | YES | closed | 1,271.32 | 93.0¢ | — | +$1 +0.1% | — | May 16, 2026 | |
| 0xba3c...2e4e Rank #966.7 SIG | NO | closed | 1,191.73 | 11.3¢ | — | -$40 -29.3% | — | Mar 7, 2026 |