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0x1ca4...f2d4
0x1ca4fd853a8eea337a93ed969338b55a655bf2d4
5.1
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $248.2K
30-Day Window6.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.3¢ · 36 resolved
- Hit rate
- 61.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$12.7K / $97.8K
- % return
- -6.0%
- Observations
- 54
90-Day Window5.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.9¢ · 99 resolved
- Hit rate
- 60.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$15.5K / $248.2K
- % return
- -3.5%
- Observations
- 125
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
-$8,840
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 24,069.13 | 52.7¢ | 33.5¢ | $8,063 | -$4,618 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 6,153.22 | 74.2¢ | 52.5¢ | $3,230 | -$1,338 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 6,127.28 | 80.0¢ | 66.0¢ | $4,044 | -$858 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 5,000 | 75.0¢ | 79.5¢ | $3,975 | +$225 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3,444.22 | 63.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $1,533 | -$654 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 3,232.98 | 91.9¢ | 90.0¢ | $2,910 | -$61 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | No | 2,000 | 73.0¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,978 | +$518 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 581.82 | 15.0¢ | 0.8¢ | $4 | -$83 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 254.86 | 64.4¢ | 67.0¢ | $171 | +$7 |
| Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 231 | 80.0¢ | 89.7¢ | $207 | +$22 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 64.3¢ | 68.0¢ | 2,299.38 | 2,328.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 | Yes | 12.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 80.0¢ | — | 231 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 60.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 5,000 | 4,999.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 46.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | — | 37.0¢ | 0 | 163.59 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 99.7¢ | — | 2,228.87 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 93.7¢ | — | 9,565.33 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | — | 70.0¢ | 0 | 164.84 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Senegal? | Yes | 1.1¢ | — | 1,499.99 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | — | 29.5¢ | 0 | 2,999.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | — | 5.6¢ | 0 | 2,875.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | — | 36.0¢ | 0 | 233 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 96.8¢ | 2,999.98 | 2,999.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 89.2¢ | 91.5¢ | 2,901.4 | 2,901.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |