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CultureLiveResolves Dec 31, 2026

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
67.0¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
2.9¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$1.4M
order-book depth
24h Volume
$443.3K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
1
0 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital

Price History

Spider-Man: Brand New DayAvengers: DoomsdayToy Story 5Whale buyWhale sellRegime shift
20¢40¢60¢80¢Nov 13Jan 26Apr 10Jun 23

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 5 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

0 tracked fills

No tracked whale trades in this market yet.

Holder Concentration

rocky42017#78
100.0%$53.3

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K
−$5K…−$1K
−$1K…−$100
1
≈ flat
$100…$1K
$1K…$5K
≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net -$5.4 across 1 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount0% / 100%
one wallet, one vote
By capital0% / 100%
weighted by committed $
By skill0% / 100%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills
ContactSideStateSizeAvg EntryValueP/LFirst BuyLast Trade
@rocky42017
Rank #786.5 SIG
NOopen145.2436.7¢$48-$5 -10.1%Jun 19, 2026Jun 20, 2026