Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
View on PolymarketPrice History
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 3 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net buying ($1.7K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 bought $1.2K YES at 96¢ on Jun 22.
- BUYYES0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86#6696¢$1.2KJun 22
- BUYYES0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86#6696¢$479.3Jun 22
- SELLYES42021#8696¢$287Jun 20
- SELLYES42021#8693¢$278.1Jun 20
- SELLYES42021#8696¢$260.2Jun 21
- SELLYES42021#8696¢$227.3Jun 21
- SELLYES42021#8694¢$199.8Jun 21
- BUYYES42021#8693¢$199.7Jun 20
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.95). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $280.9 across 2 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | @0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 Rank #666.8 SIG | YES | open | 2,151.38 | 83.5¢ | $2,086 | +$288 +16.1% | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | @42021 Rank #866.3 SIG | NO | open | 1,199.57 | 3.8¢ | $38 | -$8 -16.7% | Jun 20, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 |