SportsLiveResolves Jun 23, 2026

Norway vs. Senegal

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0.1¢

implied probability

24h Drift

-32.5¢

day-over-day

Volatility

4.4¢

daily price swing (σ)

Liquidity

$693.8K

order-book depth

24h Volume

$21.3M

traded last day

Smart $ Net

$9.2K

tracked buy − sell

Tracked Wallets

4 YES · 1 NO

Top Holder

62%

of tracked capital

Price History

SenegalNorwayDraw (Norway vs. Senegal)Whale buyWhale sellRegime shift

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 1 regime shift flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

51 tracked fills

Tracked smart money is net buying ($9.2K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: a tracked wallet bought $4.7K YES at 28¢ on Jun 22.

BUYYES0xdb15...839328¢$4.7KJun 22
BUYNO0xa698...db5e#9371¢$2.6KJun 22
BUYYESBigRabbit#4729¢$740.4Jun 22
BUYYES0xdb15...839328¢$280Jun 22
BUYYES0x77fe...a351#9212¢$180.1Jun 23
BUYYES0xdb15...839328¢$116.7Jun 22
BUYYES0xf4ff...b556#9631¢$102.1Jun 22
BUYYES0xdb15...839328¢$77.8Jun 22

Holder Concentration

61.7%$5.6K

29.0%$2.6K

8.0%$725

1.3%$120

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.47). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K

−$5K…−$1K

−$1K…−$100

≈ flat

$100…$1K

$1K…$5K

≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 2 losing (win rate 33%); net $637.2 across 5 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount80% / 20%

one wallet, one vote

By capital71% / 29%

weighted by committed $

By skill77% / 23%

weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills

	Contact	Side	State	Size	Avg Entry	Value	P/L	First Buy	Last Trade
▸	@BigRabbit Rank #477.3 SIG	YES	open	2,500	29.0¢	$788	+$63 +8.6%	Jun 22, 2026	Jun 22, 2026
▸	0xa698...db5e Rank #936.1 SIG	NO	open	3,703.99	71.0¢	$2,426	-$204 -7.7%	Jun 22, 2026	Jun 22, 2026
▸	0xf4ff...b556 Rank #966.0 SIG	YES	open	387.1	31.0¢	$134	+$14 +11.3%	Jun 22, 2026	Jun 22, 2026
▸	0xdb15...8393 Unranked	YES	open	19,999.92	28.0¢	$6,500	+$900 +16.1%	Jun 22, 2026	Jun 22, 2026
▸	0x77fe...a351 Rank #926.1 SIG	YES	closed	0	12.0¢	—	-$135 -75.0%	Jun 23, 2026	Jun 23, 2026