Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
View on PolymarketYES Price
74.5¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
2.8¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$229K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$5.8K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
1
0 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital
Price History
$150M$300M$500MWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 4 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
rocky42017#78
100.0%$246.7
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net -$38.4 across 1 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount0% / 100%
one wallet, one vote
By capital0% / 100%
weighted by committed $
By skill0% / 100%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @rocky42017 Rank #786.5 SIG | NO | open | 817.08 | 30.2¢ | $208 | -$38 -15.5% | — | Jun 18, 2026 |