Next French Presidential Election
View on PolymarketPrice History
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 7 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net selling ($786 net), leaning YES. Largest single move: a rank-#34 wallet sold $786 YES at 27¢ on Jun 12.
- SELLYES0x665e...ea7e#3427¢$786.3Jun 12
- SELLYESpeepeehua#3324¢$0.1Jun 22
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.84). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $385.3 across 3 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @cry.eth2 Rank #447.5 SIG | YES | open | 184.83 | 6.1¢ | $45 | +$34 +303.0% | — | — | |
| ▸ | @peepeehua Rank #338.0 SIG | YES | closed | 678.27 | 24.0¢ | — | +$6 +3.4% | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | 0x665e...ea7e Rank #348.0 SIG | YES | closed | 8,374.25 | 22.0¢ | — | +$346 +18.8% | Jun 12, 2026 | Jun 12, 2026 |