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0x665e...ea7e
0x665e91fb0d5e456fb5c6fed89c2530829d4cea7e
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $26.4K
30-Day Window8.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +18.7¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 74.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.5K / $10.5K
- % return
- +24.8%
- Observations
- 27
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -1.9¢ · 47 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.8K / $26.4K
- % return
- +11.2%
- Observations
- 65
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$3,308
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,055.35 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $33 | -$5 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4,999.99 | 2.2¢ | 1.9¢ | $97 | -$13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 1,499.96 | 53.0¢ | 51.5¢ | $772 | -$22 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 500 | 51.0¢ | 46.5¢ | $233 | -$23 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 295.85 | 50.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $78 | -$70 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 42.3¢ | 56.3¢ | 1,007.42 | 1,007.41 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 53.0¢ | — | 1,499.96 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 31.4¢ | 35.0¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,000 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 39.0¢ | 84.5¢ | 1,000 | 999.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.4¢ | — | 500 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | No | 44.5¢ | 89.0¢ | 301.8 | 301.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 54.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 21.6¢ | 21.6¢ | 139.3 | 139.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | No | 43.9¢ | 54.0¢ | 512.58 | 512.58 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | No | 57.9¢ | 69.0¢ | 500 | 500 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | No | 67.5¢ | 71.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 51.0¢ | 72.7¢ | 500 | 500 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | No | 39.9¢ | 96.8¢ | 139.02 | 139.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 20.9¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 52.7¢ | 6,789.99 | 6,789.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 53.7¢ | 8.3¢ | 447.92 | 447.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 250 | 250 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | No | 35.0¢ | 30.1¢ | 228.12 | 228.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | No | 48.3¢ | 98.0¢ | 799.99 | 799.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | — | 25.0¢ | 0 | 1,000 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 44.9¢ | 38.2¢ | 1,981.16 | 1,981.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | — | 27.0¢ | 0 | 3,000 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 500 | 500 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 25.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 945.16 | 945.16 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | No | 4.3¢ | — | 200 | 0 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | 13.0¢ | 26.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 51.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 500 | 500 | May 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | No | 63.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 500 | 500 | May 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | No | 36.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 500 | 500 | May 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 56.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | May 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 47.3¢ | 52.0¢ | 850 | 850 | May 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | — | 84.0¢ | 0 | 300 | May 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 35.0¢ | 1,050 | 1,050 | May 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 72.7¢ | 74.0¢ | 668.08 | 668.07 | May 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | — | 60.0¢ | 0 | 230.15 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 1,000 | 999.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 0.8¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 9.0¢ | 0 | 724.12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | — | 1.5¢ | 0 | 500 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 500 | 500 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | No | 78.3¢ | 94.5¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 61.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 999.98 | 999.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | — | 41.2¢ | 0 | 699.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |