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@Archeroon
0xeff9837de49ff99f1a2e5f7fa03e27a07b3c05fd
6.7
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $236.8K
30-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.0¢ · 44 resolved
- Hit rate
- 43.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $11.9K / $151.6K
- % return
- +8.0%
- Observations
- 44
90-Day Window6.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.5¢ · 156 resolved
- Hit rate
- 43.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $32.6K / $236.8K
- % return
- +13.9%
- Observations
- 156
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$35,361
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 11,066.84 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | $271 | +$27 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 11,000 | 5.0¢ | 3.0¢ | $336 | -$211 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | No | 39.0¢ | — | 6,999.96 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 26.8¢ | 0.1¢ | 9,543.44 | 9,543.43 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | No | 22.6¢ | 33.8¢ | 8,840.86 | 8,840.85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 15.4¢ | 1.3¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 2.2¢ | — | 11,066.84 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 5.0¢ | — | 11,000 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 43.5¢ | 94.9¢ | 5,999.99 | 5,999.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 6,049.25 | 6,049.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 99.8¢ | 15,343.18 | 1,000 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 17,089.66 | 17,089.66 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 81.9¢ | 90.0¢ | 17,176.25 | 17,176.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 4.3¢ | 18,090.63 | 18,090.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Yes | 44.5¢ | 99.0¢ | 14,157.59 | 14,157.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Yes | 87.2¢ | 99.8¢ | 22,944 | 22,943.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 2.0¢ | 7,768.97 | 7,768.97 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | No | 46.0¢ | — | 3,236.73 | 0 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? | Yes | 7.3¢ | 0.2¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Yes | 24.3¢ | — | 4,629.85 | 0 | Jun 10, 2026 |