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@VFALL
0xe5dcd52630848fd7803cd13c09208e8876f835f9
7.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $254.9K
30-Day Window4.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.1¢ · 73 resolved
- Hit rate
- 57.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.1K / $79.7K
- % return
- +2.3%
- Observations
- 82
90-Day Window7.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.1¢ · 188 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $7.8K / $254.9K
- % return
- +2.9%
- Observations
- 205
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$8,246
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 1,376.17 | 73.0¢ | 70.5¢ | $970 | -$35 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 666 | 94.0¢ | 99.7¢ | $664 | +$38 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 554.99 | 71.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $513 | +$115 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | No | 464 | 73.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $387 | +$49 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? | Yes | 460.99 | 41.1¢ | 70.5¢ | $325 | +$136 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 392.23 | 73.7¢ | 74.5¢ | $292 | +$3 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 223.33 | 90.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $219 | +$17 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 201.51 | 73.3¢ | 97.0¢ | $195 | +$48 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 123.74 | 44.0¢ | 36.0¢ | $45 | -$10 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? | No | 42.7 | 68.0¢ | 80.5¢ | $34 | +$5 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | — | 97.0¢ | 0 | 302.23 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 73.2¢ | — | 555 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 73.0¢ | — | 1,394.89 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 221.98 | 98.24 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | No | 73.0¢ | — | 464 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 94.0¢ | — | 666 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 13.5¢ | 307.64 | 177 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | No | 71.7¢ | 17.0¢ | 292 | 292 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | No | 83.3¢ | 97.5¢ | 1,665.98 | 1,665.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | No | 20.6¢ | 10.5¢ | 3,835.67 | 3,835.66 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final be a sweep? | No | 89.8¢ | — | 125 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | No | 20.0¢ | 19.5¢ | 1,444 | 1,443.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | — | 89.1¢ | 0 | 80.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 56.0¢ | 95.5¢ | 1,110.97 | 1,110.97 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? | No | — | 99.1¢ | 0 | 280 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m? | No | — | 99.4¢ | 0 | 554.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? | No | 68.0¢ | — | 42.7 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 29.4¢ | 555 | 1,526.73 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday? | No | 85.7¢ | — | 36.52 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |