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0xdf90...41f0
0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0
9.1
/ 10 · 90D
Blue Whale
Class · est. size $54K
30-Day Window8.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +13.2¢ · 65 resolved
- Hit rate
- 42.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $19.8K / $29.2K
- % return
- +66.2%
- Observations
- 73
90-Day Window9.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +12.7¢ · 139 resolved
- Hit rate
- 54.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $25.7K / $54K
- % return
- +46.7%
- Observations
- 148
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$28,638
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6,185.95 | 12.5¢ | 2.7¢ | $167 | -$609 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5,789.43 | 78.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $5,471 | +$957 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,190.48 | 2.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $23 | -$2 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,086.96 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | $23 | -$2 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 961.54 | 5.2¢ | 5.7¢ | $54 | +$4 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? | No | 815.6 | 86.3¢ | 95.0¢ | $775 | +$71 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 571.43 | 3.5¢ | 5.3¢ | $31 | +$11 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30? | No | 44.38 | 75.5¢ | 99.0¢ | $44 | +$10 |
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30? | No | 17.55 | 81.0¢ | 99.1¢ | $17 | +$3 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 84.0¢ | — | 297.62 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58.8¢ | — | 424.98 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | No | 20.8¢ | — | 521.82 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89.0¢ | — | 56.18 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 338.98 | 338.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? | No | 86.4¢ | — | 791.53 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 77.6¢ | — | 5,475.32 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 14.5¢ | 287.03 | 287.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30? | No | 55.2¢ | 85.0¢ | 319.71 | 845.58 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? | No | 35.2¢ | 78.8¢ | 1,043.18 | 3,642.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | — | 42.0¢ | 0 | 7,356.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | — | 83.8¢ | 0 | 12,258.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 9.5¢ | — | 844.12 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 5.8¢ | — | 12,284.04 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | — | 88.1¢ | 0 | 414.31 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | — | 10.5¢ | 0 | 940.12 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | — | 25.0¢ | 0 | 578.57 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | No | 47.4¢ | — | 263.66 | 0 | Jun 11, 2026 |