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@UpDownUpDown
0xd5196bdf50199e195c58a6aff2114cc0e455932c
—
/ 10 · 90D
Unclassed
Class · est. size $194.2K
30-Day Window7.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.9¢ · 68 resolved
- Hit rate
- 15.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$20.7K / $67.2K
- % return
- -29.2%
- Observations
- 69
90-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.2¢ · 199 resolved
- Hit rate
- 14.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $333.8K / $194.2K
- % return
- +172.4%
- Observations
- 200
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$449,872
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 155,555.45 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $389 | -$391 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 55,555.55 | 8.9¢ | 13.2¢ | $7,306 | +$2,361 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 55,555.5 | 6.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $3,083 | -$639 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 43,494.83 | 6.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $370 | -$2,320 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 16,666.61 | 12.7¢ | 10.5¢ | $1,750 | -$361 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 14,999.99 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $217 | +$8 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $56 | -$44 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10,000 | 1.8¢ | 1.1¢ | $115 | -$65 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $15 | -$85 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9,999.94 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $65 | -$35 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9,999.93 | 1.0¢ | 1.3¢ | $125 | +$25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 7,005.04 | 21.3¢ | 35.5¢ | $2,487 | +$996 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 5,555.56 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | $303 | -$197 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 563.08 | 16.0¢ | 10.0¢ | $56 | -$34 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 487.95 | 18.0¢ | 9.5¢ | $46 | -$41 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | Yes | 33.9 | 7.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $1 | -$2 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 1.4¢ | — | 14,999.99 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria? | Yes | 13.0¢ | — | 999.99 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 21.3¢ | — | 7,005.04 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 20.8¢ | 45.0¢ | 4,247.41 | 4,999.89 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 18.0¢ | — | 487.95 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 16.0¢ | — | 563.08 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 9.6¢ | — | 15,555.52 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 26.0¢ | — | 5,555.55 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Yes | — | 76.0¢ | 0 | 5,554.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |