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0xd396...4991
0xd396dd666a021f1d62121a407c7449ee7e084991
7.5
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $230K
30-Day Window8.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +20.4¢ · 19 resolved
- Hit rate
- 57.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $5.7K / $134.6K
- % return
- +3.9%
- Observations
- 42
90-Day Window7.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +10.9¢ · 45 resolved
- Hit rate
- 58.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $5.8K / $230K
- % return
- +2.3%
- Observations
- 77
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$5,254
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50,000 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $25 | -$75 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 43,250 | 98.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $43,142 | +$659 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 10,003.76 | 96.6¢ | 98.9¢ | $9,894 | +$231 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 8,000 | 96.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $7,716 | +$20 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 4,000 | 60.7¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,700 | -$730 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 2,999.98 | 23.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $885 | +$195 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,321 | 4.4¢ | 5.3¢ | $124 | +$22 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 888 | 45.0¢ | 54.5¢ | $484 | +$84 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 600 | 55.0¢ | 60.5¢ | $363 | +$33 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 399.96 | 57.2¢ | 51.5¢ | $206 | -$23 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | 84.0¢ | 99.3¢ | $248 | +$38 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Yes | 249.97 | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $250 | +$85 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 200 | 91.0¢ | 99.8¢ | $200 | +$18 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | No | 150 | 87.6¢ | 93.3¢ | $140 | +$8 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 150 | 14.2¢ | 2.9¢ | $4 | -$17 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88.5¢ | 89.1¢ | 5,060.36 | 5,060.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Yes | 66.0¢ | — | 249.97 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91.0¢ | — | 200 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 98.7¢ | 0 | 638.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 57.2¢ | — | 399.96 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 23.0¢ | — | 2,999.98 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.2¢ | — | 8,000 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 84.0¢ | — | 250 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 94.9¢ | 1,599.99 | 799.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 39.3¢ | 250 | 750 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | No | 66.0¢ | — | 100 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 14.2¢ | — | 150 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | — | 99.0¢ | 0 | 1,390.71 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 70.8¢ | 70.2¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 97.3¢ | 0 | 3,500 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | No | 87.6¢ | — | 150 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99.2¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 99.2¢ | — | 5,000 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 89.5¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 4,000.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | — | 23.1¢ | 0 | 30.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.8¢ | 0 | 0.11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.4¢ | 0 | 0.11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 97.5¢ | 0 | 740 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 5.1¢ | 2,621 | 300 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 13.9¢ | 486.99 | 486.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.3¢ | 0 | 99,999.93 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.2¢ | 0 | 100,000 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 1,043.87 | 1,043.86 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 10.9¢ | 0 | 24,999.97 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | 99,999.99 | 99,999.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | — | 68.0¢ | 0 | 934.82 | Jun 10, 2026 |