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0xd24b...ef76
0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76
5.8
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $89.3K
30-Day Window9.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +18.6¢ · 35 resolved
- Hit rate
- 52.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $22.3K / $76K
- % return
- +20.2%
- Observations
- 38
90-Day Window5.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.3¢ · 57 resolved
- Hit rate
- 45.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $24.2K / $89.3K
- % return
- +19.2%
- Observations
- 61
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$14,209
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 11,706.18 | 78.5¢ | 99.0¢ | $11,583 | +$2,393 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 7,834.22 | 86.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $7,799 | +$1,026 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | Yes | 6,511.9 | 79.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $5,242 | +$58 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | Yes | 5,999.96 | 52.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $5,943 | +$2,768 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 3,999.99 | 78.3¢ | 99.2¢ | $3,966 | +$832 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3,417.78 | 18.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$619 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 1,999.99 | 3.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $17 | -$61 |
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 1,652.99 | 67.2¢ | 72.0¢ | $1,190 | +$79 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | No | 1,499.99 | 57.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,490 | +$630 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | No | 1,113 | 90.1¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,110 | +$107 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 1,000 | 7.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$75 |
| Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | Yes | 999.99 | 81.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $725 | -$85 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 998.8 | 15.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $8 | -$143 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Yes | 516.83 | 32.0¢ | 31.5¢ | $163 | -$3 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | No | 330 | 81.2¢ | 100.0¢ | $330 | +$62 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 67.2¢ | — | 1,652.99 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Yes | 32.0¢ | — | 516.83 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | Yes | 79.6¢ | — | 6,511.9 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0.8¢ | 14,999.99 | 13,000 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | No | 81.2¢ | — | 330 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | No | 90.1¢ | — | 1,113 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | Yes | 52.9¢ | — | 5,999.96 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | No | 57.3¢ | — | 1,499.99 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 15.2¢ | — | 998.8 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.4¢ | 77.8¢ | 17,355.45 | 10,628.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Yes | 28.0¢ | — | 16.41 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.8¢ | — | 729.84 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | No | 64.8¢ | 87.5¢ | 7,693.95 | 5,347.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 94.6¢ | 2,036.59 | 4,038.89 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | — | 87.4¢ | 0 | 9,063.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Yes | 50.7¢ | 40.1¢ | 1,410.36 | 1,410.36 | Jun 16, 2026 |