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@0xrandd8
0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
7.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $319.2K
30-Day Window8.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +12.9¢ · 92 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $6K / $152.7K
- % return
- +4.1%
- Observations
- 132
90-Day Window7.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.0¢ · 229 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $8.9K / $319.2K
- % return
- +2.9%
- Observations
- 289
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$9,080
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,500 | 50.0¢ | 15.3¢ | $1,148 | -$2,603 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 7,500 | 50.0¢ | 84.7¢ | $6,353 | +$2,603 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,561.45 | 11.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $303 | -$93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,482.19 | 5.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $192 | +$7 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,999.96 | 27.2¢ | 23.5¢ | $470 | -$75 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 25.0¢ | 25.5¢ | $153 | +$3 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 187.68 | 17.2¢ | 35.8¢ | $67 | +$35 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.2¢ | — | 5,482.19 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.5¢ | — | 999.98 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 9.3¢ | 2,219.57 | 2,394.48 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | 20.9¢ | 21.0¢ | 225.01 | 225.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | — | 600 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | — | 37.0¢ | 0 | 500.87 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 22.0¢ | 21.6¢ | 842.66 | 842.66 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 15.2¢ | 881.66 | 1,381.64 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 2.3¢ | 19,999.99 | 19,999.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 49.5¢ | 50.6¢ | 200 | 499.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | No | 9.4¢ | 10.6¢ | 350.84 | 350.84 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%? | No | 9.5¢ | 9.2¢ | 309.77 | 459.77 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | No | 4.3¢ | 3.2¢ | 1,978.17 | 1,978.17 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 8.3¢ | 10.0¢ | 414.4 | 414.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 500 | 499.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 100 | 100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 14.3¢ | 2,989.52 | 3,495.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Yes | 53.9¢ | 53.9¢ | 139.56 | 139.57 | Jun 20, 2026 |