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0xbd69...e123
0xbd69c93f156ab64dc262a2082d64037a11b6e123
7.5
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $9.1K
30-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +48.1¢ · 6 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.2K / $4.2K
- % return
- +55.0%
- Observations
- 10
90-Day Window7.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +16.4¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 76.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.2K / $9.1K
- % return
- +25.1%
- Observations
- 21
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$2,512
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4,000 | 15.0¢ | 13.5¢ | $540 | -$60 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 3,703.99 | 27.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $1,093 | +$93 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1,334 | 30.0¢ | 18.5¢ | $247 | -$153 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 60.0¢ | 696.8 | 696.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 27.0¢ | — | 3,703.99 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30? | Yes | 48.6¢ | — | 607.21 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 44.2¢ | 1,600 | 4,812.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 4.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 15.0¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 3,229.14 | 3,229.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 707.1 | 707.1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | Yes | 72.0¢ | — | 560 | 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | May 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? | Yes | 8.0¢ | — | 249.97 | 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 30.5¢ | 47.0¢ | 2,634 | 1,300 | May 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by May 31? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 21.4¢ | 5,094.96 | 5,094.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | No | 88.8¢ | — | 837.15 | 0 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | No | 13.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 799.98 | 799.66 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 7.0¢ | 1,562.83 | 45.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 32.0¢ | 1,615 | 1,614.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | No | 41.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 150 | 143.62 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 929.99 | 929.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 15.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 2,800 | 2,800 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 99.2¢ | 1,036.38 | 1,034.79 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on March 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 58.75 | 58.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 3.8¢ | — | 8,230.57 | 0 | Feb 28, 2026 |