◆ Contact Dossier
0xba3c...2e4e
0xba3ce1a0a3cd1ab1f98981f3ce7350017de22e4e
6.7
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $196.4K
30-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.3¢ · 5 resolved
- Hit rate
- 35.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.8K / $9.6K
- % return
- +13.4%
- Observations
- 14
90-Day Window6.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.6¢ · 44 resolved
- Hit rate
- 64.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $14.9K / $196.4K
- % return
- +6.8%
- Observations
- 68
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$13,216
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 83.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $4,025 | -$166 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,639.55 | 3.2¢ | 4.5¢ | $166 | +$49 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | 91.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,288 | +$13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 2,250 | 62.0¢ | 99.8¢ | $2,244 | +$849 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,510.07 | 67.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,306 | +$284 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 1,185.32 | 68.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $824 | +$10 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 69.0¢ | 99.8¢ | $998 | +$308 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,000 | 47.0¢ | 57.5¢ | $575 | +$105 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | 33.0¢ | 23.2¢ | $116 | -$49 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 465 | 2.5¢ | 1.6¢ | $7 | -$4 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 350 | 86.0¢ | 95.0¢ | $332 | +$31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 269 | 81.0¢ | 99.8¢ | $268 | +$50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 144.24 | 7.4¢ | 15.3¢ | $22 | +$11 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 100 | 78.0¢ | 97.3¢ | $97 | +$19 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | — | 2,500 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 82.0¢ | 87.7¢ | 1,000 | 2,790 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 11.3¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | — | 71.0¢ | 0 | 2.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | — | 33.2¢ | 0 | 0.11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 78.0¢ | — | 100 | 0 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | 125,000 | 125,000 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 8.5¢ | 14,999.98 | 14,999.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.3¢ | 0 | 35,000 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? | Yes | 67.0¢ | — | 4,392.13 | 0 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | 35,000 | 35,000 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | 19,999.99 | 19,999.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | — | 99.9¢ | 0 | 195 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 1.8¢ | 4,326.56 | 9,999.89 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 5.3¢ | 10,000 | 10,000.04 | May 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.1¢ | 0 | 29,999.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 0.1¢ | 0 | 30,000 | May 31, 2026 |