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@0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49
0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498
5.3
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $7.2M
30-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.4¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 59.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $12.6K / $5.3M
- % return
- +0.2%
- Observations
- 22
90-Day Window5.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.7¢ · 32 resolved
- Hit rate
- 67.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $22.7K / $7.2M
- % return
- +0.3%
- Observations
- 37
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$20,140
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 87,032.45 | 99.5¢ | 99.7¢ | $86,728 | +$101 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 78,376.66 | 99.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $78,102 | +$39 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | No | 53,156.4 | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | $53,130 | +$247 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 7,887.91 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,454 | +$118 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 7,094.05 | 79.7¢ | 95.9¢ | $6,803 | +$1,148 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 4,161.11 | 81.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,766 | +$389 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | 1,496.02 | 98.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,482 | +$2 |
| Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30? | No | 1,050.45 | 94.9¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,046 | +$49 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 99.5¢ | — | 90,000 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 49.5¢ | — | 4,019.65 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 99.6¢ | — | 78,376.66 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 85.0¢ | — | 2,675.09 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | No | 99.5¢ | — | 53,156.4 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | 98.9¢ | — | 1,496.02 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | — | 23,107.08 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no one dissent the June Fed decision? | Yes | 66.0¢ | — | 75.53 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | No | 99.5¢ | — | 30,000 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | — | 3,135 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 82.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 12,244.8 | 12,244.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,196.42 | 1,196.41 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 97.0¢ | 1,011.56 | 1,011.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | — | 96.4¢ | 0 | 15,640.48 | Jun 13, 2026 |