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0xa43d...00f4
0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4
4.5
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $147.3K
30-Day Window8.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.0¢ · 46 resolved
- Hit rate
- 56.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $26.9K / $107.5K
- % return
- +18.8%
- Observations
- 53
90-Day Window4.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.3¢ · 166 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $25K / $147.3K
- % return
- +12.4%
- Observations
- 177
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$9,358
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 22,387.87 | 85.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $22,287 | +$3,098 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18,867.92 | 5.3¢ | 5.3¢ | $1,009 | +$9 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5,577.01 | 75.0¢ | 89.3¢ | $4,980 | +$800 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5,250 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$144 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 4,999.99 | 94.2¢ | 99.0¢ | $4,947 | +$238 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | No | 4,460 | 57.0¢ | 99.4¢ | $4,431 | +$1,887 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 4,000 | 38.0¢ | 4.2¢ | $168 | -$1,352 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | Yes | 3,422.43 | 31.4¢ | 99.2¢ | $3,393 | +$2,320 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 2,736.46 | 45.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $807 | -$424 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 2,570.15 | 50.8¢ | 50.5¢ | $1,298 | -$7 |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 1,999.99 | 44.0¢ | 27.5¢ | $550 | -$330 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | No | 1,432 | 93.0¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,428 | +$96 |
| Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | Yes | 1,091.39 | 71.0¢ | 85.6¢ | $934 | +$159 |
| Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 663.03 | 12.1¢ | 26.7¢ | $177 | +$97 |
| Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | No | 554.99 | 48.0¢ | 51.0¢ | $283 | +$17 |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | Yes | 328 | 13.6¢ | 39.8¢ | $130 | +$86 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 200 | 7.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $75 | +$60 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | No | 107 | 40.0¢ | 49.0¢ | $52 | +$10 |
| Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%? | No | 82 | 95.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $82 | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | Yes | 25 | 44.0¢ | 49.0¢ | $12 | +$1 |
| Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 8.89 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 31.0¢ | — | 45 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | No | 93.0¢ | — | 1,432 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | Yes | 31.4¢ | — | 3,422.43 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 44.0¢ | — | 1,999.99 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | No | 57.0¢ | — | 4,460 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 23.9¢ | 26.2¢ | 22,500 | 22,542.38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 80.4¢ | 3,000 | 1,138.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.9¢ | 77.8¢ | 13,381.49 | 13,381.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 38.0¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 20.2¢ | 7,500 | 18,499.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.3¢ | — | 18,867.92 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Knicks vs. Spurs | No | 12.0¢ | — | 300 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 45.0¢ | — | 2,736.46 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 17.1¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47.0¢ | — | 2,200 | 0 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | Yes | — | 89.0¢ | 0 | 109 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | No | 37.0¢ | 32.9¢ | 400 | 10,399.96 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 23.0¢ | 16.8¢ | 1,174.74 | 9,999.96 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | — | 13.5¢ | 0 | 5,800 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | — | 98.3¢ | 0 | 1,499.97 | Jun 12, 2026 |