◆ Contact Dossier
@mcorleone
0x9e7e57fbc4dd03dc7b0eea98f1f01bc100083e1d
7.1
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $477.5K
30-Day Window5.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.7¢ · 26 resolved
- Hit rate
- 51.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$33.2K / $469.2K
- % return
- -11.7%
- Observations
- 33
90-Day Window7.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +10.3¢ · 37 resolved
- Hit rate
- 59.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$32.3K / $477.5K
- % return
- -11.3%
- Observations
- 47
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
-$4,978
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 70,001.26 | 49.1¢ | 80.3¢ | $56,176 | +$21,770 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 600 | 77.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $501 | +$39 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 428.39 | 30.6¢ | 30.3¢ | $130 | -$2 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 32.5¢ | — | 100 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 29.6¢ | 21.6¢ | 149,997.33 | 78,650.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 76.2¢ | 73.2¢ | 29,090.67 | 29,090.68 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | Yes | — | 51.2¢ | 0 | 3,865.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | No | 73.1¢ | — | 20,852.97 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | Yes | — | 65.0¢ | 0 | 739.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Yes | — | 49.3¢ | 0 | 30,462.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Yes | — | 25.7¢ | 0 | 16,847.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |