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0x9360...03e6
0x936044a9c02ebebf6b017db6dfc053cf4bf203e6
7.4
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $123.4K
30-Day Window9.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +22.1¢ · 28 resolved
- Hit rate
- 72.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $8.2K / $69.5K
- % return
- +11.5%
- Observations
- 36
90-Day Window7.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.7¢ · 65 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $12.1K / $123.4K
- % return
- +9.7%
- Observations
- 74
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$12,548
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 1,700.2 | 74.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,590 | +$327 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 956 | 41.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $253 | -$141 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 41.2¢ | 51.5¢ | 2,956 | 2,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 84.9¢ | 99.5¢ | 4,500 | 4,499.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 11.4¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 70.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 49.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 98.3¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 88.6¢ | 96.1¢ | 2,999.66 | 1,463.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 86.1¢ | 87.3¢ | 2,000 | 1,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 74.3¢ | — | 1,700.19 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 58.1¢ | 7,237.39 | 7,237.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 20.0¢ | 25.8¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 330.48 | 330.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 750 | 750 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 913.93 | 913.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Yes | 86.6¢ | 95.0¢ | 5,000 | 2,000 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 2,000 | 4,000 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Yes | — | 0.6¢ | 0 | 19,999.98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 17.3¢ | 15,000 | 46,330.09 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026? | No | 3.3¢ | — | 25.34 | 0 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Yes | 36.0¢ | — | 231.49 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |