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0x79d9...baec
0x79d980791ab82aff891eee32d41b4e1fbb07baec
—
/ 10 · 90D
Unclassed
Class · est. size $219.8K
30-Day Window7.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +13.7¢ · 28 resolved
- Hit rate
- 53.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $10.7K / $96.1K
- % return
- +8.6%
- Observations
- 28
90-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +12.4¢ · 36 resolved
- Hit rate
- 63.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $30.9K / $219.8K
- % return
- +12.9%
- Observations
- 36
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$19,799
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 29,999.97 | 66.0¢ | 61.5¢ | $18,450 | -$1,350 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15,620 | 83.0¢ | 80.5¢ | $12,574 | -$390 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Yes | 10,353.06 | 51.9¢ | 8.5¢ | $880 | -$4,496 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10,300 | 73.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $8,910 | +$1,391 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 9,599.98 | 77.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $8,304 | +$862 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9,499.98 | 79.0¢ | 99.2¢ | $9,419 | +$1,914 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 9,000 | 84.0¢ | 84.0¢ | $7,560 | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 8,999.98 | 56.0¢ | 32.5¢ | $2,925 | -$2,115 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 8,500 | 59.0¢ | 60.5¢ | $5,143 | +$128 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 8,500 | 12.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $191 | -$863 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 8,300 | 60.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $3,528 | -$1,453 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 7,000 | 71.0¢ | 99.0¢ | $6,926 | +$1,956 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 6,799.98 | 73.0¢ | 98.8¢ | $6,715 | +$1,751 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 6,700 | 76.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $6,265 | +$1,173 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 6,000 | 86.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $5,490 | +$330 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5,800 | 87.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,249 | +$203 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 5,700 | 89.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $5,674 | +$575 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5,700 | 88.2¢ | 89.3¢ | $5,090 | +$63 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5,500 | 91.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $5,088 | +$83 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | No | 5,199.96 | 72.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,914 | +$1,170 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 4,999.99 | 22.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $1,475 | +$375 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 3,850 | 78.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,484 | +$481 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 3,799.97 | 79.5¢ | 41.1¢ | $1,564 | -$1,457 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 3,037.1 | 82.3¢ | 97.8¢ | $2,969 | +$469 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | No | 3,000 | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $2,999 | +$539 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 2,999.98 | 84.7¢ | 89.9¢ | $2,697 | +$156 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 2,799.95 | 93.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $2,787 | +$175 |
| Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03? | Yes | 2,699.58 | 98.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,629 | -$32 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,631.58 | 95.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $1,908 | -$592 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 2,570 | 78.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,352 | +$347 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2,300 | 88.0¢ | 94.3¢ | $2,168 | +$144 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1,600 | 64.0¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,288 | +$264 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 1,346.13 | 84.0¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,309 | +$178 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,200 | 90.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,062 | -$18 |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | Yes | 30 | 92.7¢ | 93.7¢ | $28 | +$0 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 84.0¢ | — | 9,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 59.0¢ | — | 8,500 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? | Yes | 83.3¢ | 62.0¢ | 6,001.39 | 6,001.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Yes | 51.9¢ | — | 10,353.06 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 22.0¢ | — | 4,999.99 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | — | 6,000 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 84.7¢ | — | 2,999.98 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03? | Yes | 98.6¢ | — | 2,699.58 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | — | 62.0¢ | 0 | 4,800 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 12.4¢ | — | 8,500 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 72.0¢ | — | 6,999.78 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | — | 6,972.23 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Yes | 48.6¢ | — | 1,999.99 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 84.0¢ | — | 37 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 66.0¢ | — | 5,098.65 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Yes | 92.5¢ | — | 5,402.89 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |