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0x7726...4aee
0x77266604e63f5caf08d19caebae0c563ce064aee
7.4
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $118.1K
30-Day Window8.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.2¢ · 30 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $4.7K / $62.5K
- % return
- +7.5%
- Observations
- 34
90-Day Window7.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.8¢ · 112 resolved
- Hit rate
- 44.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $11.2K / $118.1K
- % return
- +9.5%
- Observations
- 117
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$20,088
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 2,354.14 | 16.5¢ | 3.0¢ | $72 | -$317 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 999.99 | 65.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $935 | +$285 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 994.87 | 78.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $831 | +$55 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 214.46 | 83.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $186 | +$8 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | 76.6¢ | 82.7¢ | $33 | +$2 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 16.5¢ | — | 2,354.14 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 54.1¢ | 43.3¢ | 5,255.92 | 5,255.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.3¢ | — | 2,818.71 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 15.6¢ | 18.3¢ | 22,210.7 | 32,482.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.7¢ | 44.0¢ | 15,369.78 | 14,710.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? | Yes | 2.0¢ | — | 929.83 | 0 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 83.0¢ | — | 214.46 | 0 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 78.0¢ | — | 994.87 | 0 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 76.6¢ | — | 40 | 0 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | — | 98.9¢ | 0 | 14,999.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 98.7¢ | — | 4,800 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 7? | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 689.8 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7? | No | 5.4¢ | — | 8,117.17 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? | Yes | 0.6¢ | — | 1,030.55 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7? | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | — | 2.2¢ | 0 | 7,628.04 | Jun 5, 2026 |