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0x71ab...f015
0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
6.8
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $196.4K
30-Day Window5.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.1¢ · 43 resolved
- Hit rate
- 61.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $44.3K / $74.7K
- % return
- +22.3%
- Observations
- 52
90-Day Window6.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.9¢ · 171 resolved
- Hit rate
- 69.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $93.2K / $196.4K
- % return
- +33.4%
- Observations
- 187
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$85,455
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 44,080.66 | 35.3¢ | 51.5¢ | $22,702 | +$7,134 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | No | 19,769.69 | 85.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $19,582 | +$2,656 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 16,921.97 | 49.9¢ | 70.5¢ | $11,930 | +$3,492 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 13,999.97 | 66.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $13,090 | +$3,730 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 9,197.59 | 72.3¢ | 86.5¢ | $7,956 | +$1,303 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 5,715.86 | 85.5¢ | 87.8¢ | $5,016 | +$131 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 5,172.8 | 34.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $5,137 | +$3,333 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5,140.98 | 66.3¢ | 84.0¢ | $4,318 | +$910 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,892.21 | 14.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $514 | -$186 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 4,799.99 | 92.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $4,778 | +$344 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 3,906.62 | 71.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $3,614 | +$833 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 3,183.07 | 26.2¢ | 29.3¢ | $934 | +$101 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3,136.44 | 15.6¢ | 49.5¢ | $1,553 | +$1,064 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 3,046.63 | 45.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $3,028 | +$1,638 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | Yes | 2,980.02 | 5.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | -$137 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | Yes | 2,066.49 | 4.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $8 | -$91 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22? | No | 1,630 | 90.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,623 | +$152 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,412.75 | 8.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $11 | -$104 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1,400 | 73.7¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,099 | +$67 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | No | 1,348.13 | 94.3¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,332 | +$61 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 1,099.99 | 76.3¢ | 92.8¢ | $1,020 | +$181 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 85.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $756 | +$76 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 627.41 | 5.2¢ | 25.5¢ | $160 | +$127 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | 500 | 54.0¢ | 99.6¢ | $498 | +$228 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | 500 | 91.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $488 | +$31 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 4.5¢ | 8.0¢ | $40 | +$17 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500 | 78.0¢ | 87.5¢ | $438 | +$48 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 323.29 | 2.8¢ | 4.0¢ | $13 | +$4 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | No | 307.31 | 8.8¢ | 99.1¢ | $304 | +$277 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | No | 277.69 | 86.0¢ | 99.3¢ | $276 | +$37 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 273.96 | 3.6¢ | 10.6¢ | $29 | +$19 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? | Yes | 247.54 | 26.0¢ | 50.0¢ | $124 | +$59 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | No | 222.17 | 69.0¢ | 86.0¢ | $191 | +$38 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Yes | 200 | 40.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $41 | -$39 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 154 | 69.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $153 | +$46 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 67.16 | 57.0¢ | 95.8¢ | $64 | +$26 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? | Yes | 14.33 | 87.2¢ | 88.0¢ | $13 | +$0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026? | Yes | 5 | 93.0¢ | 95.7¢ | $5 | +$0 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | Yes | — | 0.5¢ | 0 | 382.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 47.1¢ | — | 8,670.74 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | No | — | 99.1¢ | 0 | 4,314.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | — | 40.0¢ | 0 | 500 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | No | 94.3¢ | 98.9¢ | 2,348.13 | 1,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | No | 85.0¢ | — | 157.59 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 67.3¢ | — | 4,893.76 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 4.5¢ | — | 500 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 87.0¢ | — | 510.75 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 94.3¢ | 2,643.59 | 3,651.93 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 81.0¢ | — | 999.98 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | — | 36.8¢ | 0 | 1,524.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 84.5¢ | — | 1,066.67 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 57.0¢ | 95.7¢ | 300 | 232.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 76.3¢ | — | 1,099.99 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 85.0¢ | — | 800 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.4¢ | — | 4,127.39 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | 91.4¢ | — | 500 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Yes | — | 3.8¢ | 0 | 940.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? | Yes | 26.0¢ | — | 247.54 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | — | 38.6¢ | 0 | 877.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | Yes | — | 0.7¢ | 0 | 1,005.36 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | — | 21.6¢ | 0 | 1,100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? | No | — | 97.0¢ | 0 | 400 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? | Yes | — | 2.0¢ | 0 | 328.68 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? | No | — | 99.9¢ | 0 | 2,589.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 70.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 93.0¢ | — | 14.29 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 1,550.07 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 9.0¢ | 0 | 182.77 | Jun 14, 2026 |