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0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015

Top 92 - 90D

6.8

/ 10 · 90D

Humpback

Class · est. size $196.4K

Telemetry Window

30-Day Window5.9 SIG

Edge / share: +6.1¢ · 43 resolved
Hit rate: 61.5%
Net P/L · Vol: $44.3K / $74.7K
% return: +22.3%
Observations: 52

90-Day Window6.8 SIG

Edge / share: +6.9¢ · 171 resolved
Hit rate: 69.5%
Net P/L · Vol: $93.3K / $196.4K
% return: +33.4%
Observations: 187

Dive Profile

Net Catch · 90D

+$85,455

Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace

Current Positions

open holdings · marked to market

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg Entry	Current	Value	Unrealized P/L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	44,080.66	35.3¢	51.5¢	$22,702	+$7,134
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	19,769.69	85.6¢	99.1¢	$19,582	+$2,656
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	16,921.97	49.9¢	70.5¢	$11,930	+$3,492
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	13,999.97	66.8¢	93.5¢	$13,090	+$3,730
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	9,197.59	72.3¢	86.5¢	$7,956	+$1,303
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	5,715.86	85.5¢	87.8¢	$5,016	+$131
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	5,172.8	34.9¢	99.3¢	$5,137	+$3,333
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	5,140.98	66.3¢	84.0¢	$4,318	+$910
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	4,892.21	14.3¢	10.5¢	$514	-$186
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	4,799.99	92.4¢	99.6¢	$4,778	+$344
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	3,906.62	71.2¢	92.5¢	$3,614	+$833
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	3,183.07	26.2¢	29.3¢	$934	+$101
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	3,136.44	15.6¢	49.5¢	$1,553	+$1,064
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	3,046.63	45.6¢	99.4¢	$3,028	+$1,638
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	2,980.02	5.0¢	0.4¢	$12	-$137
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Yes	2,066.49	4.8¢	0.4¢	$8	-$91
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?	No	1,630	90.3¢	99.6¢	$1,623	+$152
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	1,412.75	8.2¢	0.8¢	$11	-$104
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	1,400	73.7¢	78.5¢	$1,099	+$67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	1,348.13	94.3¢	98.8¢	$1,332	+$61
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	1,099.99	76.3¢	92.8¢	$1,020	+$181
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	800	85.0¢	94.5¢	$756	+$76
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	627.41	5.2¢	25.5¢	$160	+$127
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	500	54.0¢	99.6¢	$498	+$228
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	500	91.4¢	97.5¢	$488	+$31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	500	4.5¢	8.0¢	$40	+$17
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	500	78.0¢	87.5¢	$438	+$48
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	323.29	2.8¢	4.0¢	$13	+$4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	307.31	8.8¢	99.1¢	$304	+$277
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?	No	277.69	86.0¢	99.3¢	$276	+$37
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	273.96	3.6¢	10.6¢	$29	+$19
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	247.54	26.0¢	50.0¢	$124	+$59
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	No	222.17	69.0¢	86.0¢	$191	+$38
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	200	40.0¢	20.5¢	$41	-$39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	154	69.9¢	99.5¢	$153	+$46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	67.16	57.0¢	95.8¢	$64	+$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	14.33	87.2¢	88.0¢	$13	+$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	5	93.0¢	95.7¢	$5	+$0

Trade History

grouped by position · click to expand fills

	Market	Outcome	Avg Entry	Avg Exit	Bought	Sold	Last
▸	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	—	96.88	0	Jun 23, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Yes	—	0.5¢	0	382.66	Jun 23, 2026
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	47.1¢	—	8,670.74	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	—	99.1¢	0	4,314.99	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	—	40.0¢	0	500	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	94.3¢	98.9¢	2,348.13	1,000	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	No	85.0¢	—	157.59	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	67.3¢	—	4,893.76	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	4.5¢	—	500	0	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	87.0¢	—	510.75	0	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	94.3¢	2,643.59	3,651.93	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	81.0¢	—	999.98	0	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	—	36.8¢	0	1,524.21	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	84.5¢	—	1,066.67	0	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	57.0¢	95.7¢	300	232.84	Jun 19, 2026
▸	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	76.3¢	—	1,099.99	0	Jun 19, 2026
▸	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	—	800	0	Jun 19, 2026
▸	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	14.4¢	—	4,127.39	0	Jun 19, 2026
▸	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	91.4¢	—	500	0	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	—	3.8¢	0	940.77	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	26.0¢	—	247.54	0	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	—	38.6¢	0	877.77	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	Yes	—	0.7¢	0	1,005.36	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	—	21.6¢	0	1,100	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	—	97.0¢	0	400	Jun 16, 2026
▸	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	—	2.0¢	0	328.68	Jun 16, 2026
▸	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	No	—	99.9¢	0	2,589.3	Jun 15, 2026
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	70.0¢	—	1,000	0	Jun 15, 2026
▸	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	—	14.29	0	Jun 14, 2026
▸	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	—	90.0¢	0	1,550.07	Jun 14, 2026
▸	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	—	9.0¢	0	102.77	Jun 14, 2026