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@0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d

Top 70 - 30D

6.5

/ 10 · 90D

Humpback

Class · est. size $125.4K

Telemetry Window

30-Day Window6.7 SIG

Edge / share: +9.9¢ · 30 resolved
Hit rate: 36.8%
Net P/L · Vol: -$11.2K / $38.3K
% return: -3.0%
Observations: 38

90-Day Window6.5 SIG

Edge / share: +6.3¢ · 131 resolved
Hit rate: 53.1%
Net P/L · Vol: -$16.2K / $125.4K
% return: -5.0%
Observations: 143

Dive Profile

Net Catch · 90D

-$1,361

Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace

Current Positions

open holdings · marked to market

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg Entry	Current	Value	Unrealized P/L
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	17,499.94	14.0¢	10.5¢	$1,837	-$620
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	12,270.51	6.2¢	3.1¢	$387	-$375
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	Yes	10,200	13.9¢	3.4¢	$347	-$1,068
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	9,499.99	1.1¢	0.5¢	$47	-$61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?	Yes	8,880	6.8¢	1.1¢	$93	-$510
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	8,721.26	12.4¢	2.7¢	$235	-$845
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	7,828.98	50.3¢	18.5¢	$1,448	-$2,490
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	Yes	7,712.97	12.8¢	0.9¢	$69	-$921
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	6,799.99	38.0¢	28.5¢	$1,937	-$647
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	6,728.85	15.7¢	11.0¢	$740	-$314
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	5,091.11	29.5¢	17.3¢	$883	-$619
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	4,800.04	27.3¢	13.5¢	$648	-$662
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	4,000	22.0¢	2.8¢	$110	-$770
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	2,186.69	1.6¢	1.5¢	$32	-$3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	1,000	80.0¢	91.5¢	$915	+$115
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	400	42.0¢	18.5¢	$74	-$94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?	Yes	399.99	34.0¢	8.5¢	$34	-$102
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	240.01	35.0¢	43.0¢	$103	+$19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	62.89	5.0¢	34.5¢	$22	+$19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	12.52	12.0¢	37.0¢	$5	+$3
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?	Yes	11.92	13.0¢	2.4¢	$0	-$1

Trade History

grouped by position · click to expand fills

	Market	Outcome	Avg Entry	Avg Exit	Bought	Sold	Last
▸	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	—	28.0¢	0	1,068.73	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	38.0¢	—	6,799.99	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	35.0¢	—	240.01	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	Yes	1.3¢	—	4,000	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	0.7¢	—	7,399.99	0	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	Yes	13.9¢	—	10,200	0	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?	Yes	6.8¢	4.0¢	8,880	1,128.55	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?	Yes	34.0¢	—	399.99	0	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	—	1,000	0	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?	Yes	—	88.1¢	0	750	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	—	80.2¢	0	1,860.67	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	16.4¢	—	996.43	0	Jun 17, 2026