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0x6770...45fb
0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb
5.8
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $405.9K
30-Day Window6.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.9¢ · 54 resolved
- Hit rate
- 54.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $7.7K / $134.8K
- % return
- +3.9%
- Observations
- 68
90-Day Window5.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.3¢ · 273 resolved
- Hit rate
- 67.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $20.1K / $405.9K
- % return
- +4.3%
- Observations
- 293
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$15,523
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50,000 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $575 | +$25 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20,000 | 50.0¢ | 20.4¢ | $4,088 | -$5,912 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20,000 | 50.0¢ | 79.5¢ | $15,910 | +$5,910 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 14,211.04 | 37.2¢ | 51.5¢ | $7,319 | +$2,033 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10,000 | 2.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $205 | -$35 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 6,223.26 | 92.1¢ | 99.6¢ | $6,195 | +$465 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 6,014.52 | 97.6¢ | 99.0¢ | $5,951 | +$81 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 1,991.03 | 14.0¢ | 5.1¢ | $103 | -$176 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 1,065.09 | 70.8¢ | 78.0¢ | $831 | +$77 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $935 | +$25 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | 999.99 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $8 | -$26 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 275.16 | 62.4¢ | 69.5¢ | $191 | +$19 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 150 | 98.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $149 | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.22 | 93.3¢ | 93.8¢ | $1 | +$0 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.1¢ | — | 50,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | 3,038.49 | 3,038.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 39.2¢ | 46.8¢ | 18,064.36 | 9,296.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 91.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 66.5¢ | 66.0¢ | 844.76 | 844.75 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 34.6¢ | — | 2,370.26 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 1.6¢ | — | 500 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | No | 34.4¢ | 10.8¢ | 538 | 538 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.4¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 98.9¢ | — | 150 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 98.1¢ | — | 3,000 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 99.1¢ | — | 15 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 83.0¢ | 90 | 90 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 1,725.16 | 1,725.16 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Yes | — | 86.0¢ | 0 | 300 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 11.6¢ | 0 | 1,035.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 58.2¢ | 64.5¢ | 4,374.78 | 7,594.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 83.3¢ | 0 | 1,499.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 48.1¢ | 57.0¢ | 2,823.14 | 6,399.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 54.2¢ | 59.0¢ | 5,700.27 | 5,700.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | No | 44.0¢ | 13.9¢ | 1,000 | 824.02 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 23.8¢ | 21.6¢ | 2,680.23 | 7,316.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | — | 3.4¢ | 0 | 5,050.26 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 17.9¢ | 73.2¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | No | 49.4¢ | 64.0¢ | 900 | 900 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 16.9¢ | 18.6¢ | 999.99 | 5,507.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |