◆ Contact Dossier
0x5287...3a16
0x52870486f74fcd2fe707821b9aa8da0f6d8c3a16
9.5
/ 10 · 90D
Blue Whale
Class · est. size $145K
30-Day Window10.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +32.8¢ · 25 resolved
- Hit rate
- 18.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$3.2K / $67.7K
- % return
- -4.9%
- Observations
- 48
90-Day Window9.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +17.4¢ · 44 resolved
- Hit rate
- 18.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$8.4K / $145K
- % return
- -5.8%
- Observations
- 87
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
-$9,063
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 1,584.91 | 80.6¢ | 87.1¢ | $1,380 | +$102 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 71.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 192.76 | 192.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 43.6¢ | 6,456.38 | 6,456.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 80.6¢ | — | 1,584.91 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 87.8¢ | 68.0¢ | 853 | 852.14 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 97.5¢ | 97.5¢ | 5,477 | 5,477 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 65.0¢ | 64.7¢ | 1,373 | 1,373 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 1,007.82 | 1,007.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 93.1¢ | 94.4¢ | 3,684 | 3,684 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | Yes | — | 4.8¢ | 0 | 22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 81.0¢ | 330 | 329.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 27.8¢ | 10,078.79 | 10,078.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 8,251 | 8,251 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 24.9¢ | 423.71 | 423.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 14.3¢ | 117.11 | 117.1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 1,186.34 | 1,186.33 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 88.2¢ | 89.7¢ | 31 | 33 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 51.1¢ | 46.9¢ | 1,866.35 | 1,866.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | — | 87.9¢ | 0 | 187.65 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | — | 10.0¢ | 0 | 299.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 11.5¢ | 41 | 135.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 51.82 | 52.01 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 8,032 | 8,031.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May? | Yes | — | 52.0¢ | 0 | 10.43 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 50 | 50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May? | No | 52.0¢ | 50.7¢ | 230 | 414 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 20.4¢ | 27,194.51 | 27,194.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 601 | 601 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | — | 84.5¢ | 0 | 875.51 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Yes | — | 60.8¢ | 0 | 138 | Jun 7, 2026 |