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0x407d...1bae
0x407dd149f1e92c91d0053e0240e03318a1e01bae
4.1
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $533.6K
30-Day Window7.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.8¢ · 46 resolved
- Hit rate
- 58.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $36.2K / $317.1K
- % return
- +11.6%
- Observations
- 55
90-Day Window4.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +0.2¢ · 106 resolved
- Hit rate
- 54.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $35.3K / $533.6K
- % return
- +6.7%
- Observations
- 119
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$36,327
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50,000 | 50.0¢ | 36.8¢ | $18,375 | -$6,625 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50,000 | 50.0¢ | 63.2¢ | $31,620 | +$6,620 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20,000 | 5.4¢ | 5.3¢ | $1,070 | -$10 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20,000 | 8.0¢ | 6.8¢ | $1,350 | -$250 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3,000.01 | 74.8¢ | 67.7¢ | $2,031 | -$212 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | No | 2,000 | 95.0¢ | 94.8¢ | $1,896 | -$4 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 1,999.51 | 95.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $1,916 | -$2 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 74.8¢ | — | 3,000.01 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.4¢ | — | 20,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 18.4¢ | 10,000 | 19,779.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | No | 95.0¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 11.5¢ | 0 | 20,000 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | — | 1.1¢ | 0 | 0.95 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | — | 0.1¢ | 0 | 1,999.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | — | 0.3¢ | 0 | 2,999.92 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 52.4¢ | 49.4¢ | 10,999.42 | 8,999.91 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 92.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | — | 0.7¢ | 0 | 2,499.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | 27.8¢ | 29.1¢ | 969.93 | 969.93 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.9¢ | 75.5¢ | 1,071.21 | 1,071.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.0¢ | — | 20,000 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | No | 96.1¢ | — | 158.28 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | 99.8¢ | — | 31,734.5 | 0 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 66.7¢ | — | 1,116.18 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | Yes | 85.0¢ | — | 340 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Yes | 55.6¢ | 51.6¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | No | 47.5¢ | 52.0¢ | 922.09 | 922.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | — | 8,000.38 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 99.2¢ | — | 31,601.5 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | No | 76.6¢ | — | 483.67 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | No | 49.0¢ | — | 3,490.43 | 0 | Jun 16, 2026 |