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@MGGA.eth
0x39a6626db3a258a609f234da483fa8c43aa6ebdd
5.2
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $1M
30-Day Window7.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.2¢ · 61 resolved
- Hit rate
- 57.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $47.7K / $783.4K
- % return
- +6.1%
- Observations
- 68
90-Day Window5.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.4¢ · 137 resolved
- Hit rate
- 44.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $31.1K / $1M
- % return
- +3.0%
- Observations
- 154
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$255
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 92,582 | 50.0¢ | 21.3¢ | $19,674 | -$26,617 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92,582 | 50.0¢ | 78.8¢ | $72,908 | +$26,617 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 3,333 | 76.0¢ | 99.3¢ | $3,308 | +$775 |
| Grok 4.4 released by June 30? | Yes | 1,189 | 61.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $28 | -$702 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 325.05 | 7.0¢ | 1.5¢ | $5 | -$18 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 125 | 9.0¢ | 24.5¢ | $31 | +$19 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 68.9¢ | 119,553.29 | 43,997.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 18.0¢ | — | 3,332.95 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.0¢ | — | 325.05 | 0 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | — | 804.8 | 0 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 47.4¢ | 44.2¢ | 13,302.37 | 14,132.29 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 7.8¢ | 3,332.94 | 3,332.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | — | 125 | 0 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 7.5¢ | 2,222 | 1,365.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 30.1¢ | — | 299.93 | 0 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | — | 2,406.91 | 0 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 32.4¢ | 39.0¢ | 2,401 | 2,401 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | No | — | 40.0¢ | 0 | 687 | Jun 8, 2026 |