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0x27f2...4b62
0x27f2753941690bea49a01967c267d50b82cb4b62
5.0
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $2.6K
30-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +14.2¢ · 9 resolved
- Hit rate
- 33.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$2.1 / $831.3
- % return
- -0.3%
- Observations
- 30
90-Day Window5.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.4¢ · 19 resolved
- Hit rate
- 28.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$8.9 / $2.6K
- % return
- -0.3%
- Observations
- 49
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
-$9
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
No open positions on record.
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 42.0¢ | 48.0¢ | 75 | 75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81.5¢ | 82.5¢ | 81 | 81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 56.5¢ | 55.5¢ | 122 | 122 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 31 | 31 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 9.0¢ | 36 | 36 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 90.9¢ | 90.5¢ | 75 | 75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 98.3¢ | 98.3¢ | 36 | 36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 69 | 69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 84.9¢ | 39 | 39 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | No | 97.4¢ | 96.8¢ | 33 | 33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 87 | 87 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | No | 91.5¢ | 92.6¢ | 53 | 53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 55.5¢ | 55.5¢ | 124 | 124 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 26.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 82 | 82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 83 | 83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 62 | 62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 41 | 41 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 9.2¢ | 41 | 41 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 4.9¢ | 27 | 27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 80.9¢ | 81.3¢ | 45 | 45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 1.6¢ | 77 | 77 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 45 | 45 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 57.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 64 | 64 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 22.6¢ | 23.0¢ | 90 | 90 | May 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 4.3¢ | 37 | 37 | May 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 99.2¢ | 40 | 40 | May 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 64.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 58 | 58 | May 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | No | 93.1¢ | 95.0¢ | 39 | 39 | May 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 5.1¢ | 41 | 41 | May 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 3.8¢ | 43 | 43 | May 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 59.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 66 | 66 | May 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 97.5¢ | 85 | 85 | May 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | No | 95.0¢ | 94.4¢ | 32 | 32 | May 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 167 | 167 | May 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 95.8¢ | 95.9¢ | 48 | 48 | May 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 96.2¢ | 96.1¢ | 22 | 22 | May 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2.1¢ | 64 | 64 | May 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 4.1¢ | 150 | 150 | May 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | No | 95.3¢ | 94.6¢ | 45 | 45 | May 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.5¢ | 91.4¢ | 251 | 251 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 1.6¢ | 557 | 557 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.4¢ | 97.5¢ | 19 | 19 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 233 | 233 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 3.9¢ | 600 | 600 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92.1¢ | 92.1¢ | 250 | 250 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 98.4¢ | 98.4¢ | 234 | 233.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 88.0¢ | 88.1¢ | 574 | 574 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1.2¢ | 559 | 559 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no new pope be elected in 2025? | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 15 | 0 | May 4, 2025 |
| ▸ | UC Riverside vs. UC Davis | Yes | 50.0¢ | — | 25 | 0 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| ▸ | Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? | No | 97.6¢ | 98.6¢ | 9 | 9 | Jan 17, 2025 |