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@gandalf

0x21f90e5ff30c12f52fbb2fb220aa268f22faed12

Top 17 - 90D

7.5

/ 10 · 90D

Orca

Class · est. size $29.7K

Telemetry Window

30-Day WindowN/A SIG

Edge / share: -14.3¢ · 3 resolved
Hit rate: 0.0%
Net P/L · Vol: -$2.9K / $966.3
% return: -100.0%
Observations: 3

90-Day Window7.5 SIG

Edge / share: +15.8¢ · 46 resolved
Hit rate: 69.0%
Net P/L · Vol: $9.7K / $29.7K
% return: +39.0%
Observations: 58

Dive Profile

Net Catch · 90D

+$204

Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace

Current Positions

open holdings · marked to market

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg Entry	Current	Value	Unrealized P/L
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	234,408.06	0.8¢	0.8¢	$1,758	-$62
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	99,999.74	1.3¢	1.1¢	$1,050	-$250
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	59,324.92	1.3¢	0.7¢	$386	-$374
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	28,300.94	1.5¢	1.9¢	$538	+$107
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24,382.24	0.9¢	0.8¢	$183	-$34
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	21,826.18	3.9¢	0.3¢	$55	-$798
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20,000	2.4¢	2.9¢	$570	+$98
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,999.99	2.4¢	9.2¢	$1,830	+$1,341
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,999.98	4.2¢	5.0¢	$990	+$144
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,999.97	1.1¢	0.9¢	$190	-$39
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,999.95	0.9¢	0.7¢	$130	-$49
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,999.95	1.0¢	0.9¢	$190	-$18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	19,999.93	4.0¢	2.3¢	$460	-$340
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	19,990	11.0¢	4.2¢	$830	-$1,369
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16,633.6	4.0¢	1.3¢	$208	-$457
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	15,117.51	0.9¢	0.9¢	$128	-$10
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	15,117.44	0.9¢	0.9¢	$128	-$9
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	15,117.44	1.0¢	0.9¢	$128	-$29
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12,908.59	6.0¢	2.3¢	$290	-$484
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	12,843.37	0.1¢	0.1¢	$6	-$6
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000.01	4.0¢	2.5¢	$245	-$155
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.9¢	$90	+$21
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	1.5¢	$145	+$76
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	1.3¢	$125	+$56
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.9¢	$95	+$26
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	1.7¢	$165	+$96
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	2.1¢	$205	+$136
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.7¢	$65	-$4
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.7¢	0.8¢	$75	+$6
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	3.6¢	2.6¢	$265	-$95
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	9,999.99	4.0¢	1.9¢	$195	-$205
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9,999.99	8.0¢	5.3¢	$525	-$275
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	9,999.99	3.0¢	1.4¢	$135	-$165
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	9,606.85	1.0¢	0.9¢	$82	-$19
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,444.97	1.0¢	1.1¢	$99	+$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	8,259.91	0.9¢	0.8¢	$62	-$16
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,972.71	0.9¢	0.8¢	$60	-$16
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.5¢	$43	-$15
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.7¢	$51	-$7
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.7¢	$51	-$7
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	1.8¢	$138	+$80
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.9¢	$67	+$8
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.7¢	$51	-$7
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.8¢	$59	+$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,908.62	0.7¢	0.7¢	$51	-$7
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,869.41	0.8¢	20.2¢	$1,590	+$1,528
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7,718.62	0.8¢	0.9¢	$66	+$5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	6,949.52	1.5¢	1.3¢	$87	-$17
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,652.33	0.7¢	1.1¢	$77	+$30
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,247.22	2.9¢	2.3¢	$141	-$43
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.9¢	$43	+$5
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.8¢	$38	+$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.9¢	$49	+$10
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	1.1¢	$54	+$16
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.9¢	$49	+$10
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.9¢	$43	+$5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	5.3¢	$274	+$236
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.8¢	$38	+$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,117.51	0.7¢	0.8¢	$38	+$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,406.62	0.8¢	5.8¢	$253	+$219
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	4,393.81	51.0¢	36.5¢	$1,604	-$637
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,174.73	0.8¢	0.8¢	$31	-$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,173	1.4¢	7.1¢	$298	+$241
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,752.01	1.2¢	0.9¢	$36	-$9
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,532.87	3.0¢	0.9¢	$30	-$76
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	3,151	25.8¢	0.4¢	$11	-$801
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	2,800	9.0¢	7.0¢	$196	-$56
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,767.66	0.8¢	1.3¢	$35	+$12
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,603.85	1.9¢	1.4¢	$35	-$14
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	2,119.68	1.5¢	0.1¢	$1	-$31
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?	Yes	2,000	92.0¢	94.5¢	$1,890	+$50
Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	2,000	90.0¢	91.0¢	$1,820	+$20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	2,000	78.0¢	82.5¢	$1,650	+$90
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	1,400.08	72.5¢	88.5¢	$1,239	+$224
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	1,000	91.0¢	81.5¢	$815	-$95
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	936.31	0.8¢	1.1¢	$11	+$3
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	702.99	85.0¢	89.0¢	$626	+$28
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	310	22.0¢	64.0¢	$198	+$130
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	251.9	21.0¢	73.0¢	$184	+$131
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	233.5	0.1¢	0.7¢	$2	+$1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	228.42	0.8¢	1.1¢	$3	+$1
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	No	56.22	76.9¢	79.5¢	$45	+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	30	5.5¢	21.4¢	$6	+$5
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	3.23	69.0¢	80.5¢	$3	+$0

Trade History

grouped by position · click to expand fills

	Market	Outcome	Avg Entry	Avg Exit	Bought	Sold	Last
▸	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	1.0¢	0	7,680.2	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	0.9¢	0	6,972.31	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	19.0¢	0	39.21	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	1.1¢	0	2,058.4	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	—	1.7¢	0	2,356.56	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1.5¢	2.0¢	39,629.15	11,328.21	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	69.0¢	—	2,000	0	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	21.0¢	—	251.9	0	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	22.0¢	—	310	0	Apr 29, 2026
▸	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	9.0¢	—	2,800	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	5.5¢	—	30	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	39.0¢	—	1,694.17	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	25.8¢	—	2,270.53	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	—	0.7¢	0	10,000	Apr 28, 2026
▸	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	—	98.6¢	0	1,000	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	1.4¢	—	20,000	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	1.5¢	—	2,119.68	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?	Yes	90.0¢	—	2,000	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	—	1.6¢	0	5,117.5	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	—	0.9¢	0	8,959	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	—	1.0¢	0	5,117.5	Apr 28, 2026
▸	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	1.2¢	1.3¢	1,300	1,300	Apr 28, 2026
▸	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	—	78.0¢	0	50	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	4.4¢	0	3,502	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	4.0¢	10.0¢	22,335.72	1,950	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	0.1¢	0.1¢	2,525.48	2,525.48	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	2.4¢	0	16,999.43	Apr 28, 2026
▸	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	No	3.8¢	3.2¢	400	254.81	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	2.5¢	2.6¢	1,651.02	651.02	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	—	2,000	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	—	1,000	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	—	0.7¢	0	25,574.91	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	0.1¢	—	12,843.37	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	1.1¢	0	190	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.2¢	—	3,752.01	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	0.6¢	0	7,908.62	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	—	234,408.06	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	0.9¢	0	7,908.62	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	0.8¢	0	7,908.62	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.9¢	—	2,603.85	0	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	—	1.1¢	0	7,908.62	Apr 28, 2026
▸	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	46.4¢	57.0¢	8,212.81	8,212.81	Apr 18, 2026