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0x2132...7657
0x21322b33abd6850ac01b7ede420c16a5b2967657
5.3
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $82.7K
30-Day Window6.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.3¢ · 60 resolved
- Hit rate
- 47.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$828.2 / $67.6K
- % return
- -1.0%
- Observations
- 67
90-Day Window5.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.4¢ · 109 resolved
- Hit rate
- 56.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$531 / $82.7K
- % return
- -0.5%
- Observations
- 120
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$2,862
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 854.95 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | $20 | -$8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 850 | 20.0¢ | 16.5¢ | $140 | -$30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | 35.0¢ | 24.0¢ | $168 | -$77 |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | 693.18 | 10.5¢ | 5.3¢ | $37 | -$36 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 121.12 | 39.5¢ | 38.0¢ | $46 | -$2 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 119.25 | 58.3¢ | 61.5¢ | $73 | +$4 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | 41.0¢ | 52.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | — | 2.5¢ | 0 | 1,189.22 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 25, 2026? | Yes | 84.4¢ | — | 561.25 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 24, 2026? | No | 15.8¢ | 15.0¢ | 560.13 | 1.17 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 58.3¢ | — | 119.25 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 39.5¢ | — | 121.12 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | — | 95.5¢ | 0 | 120.87 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Yes | — | 9.0¢ | 0 | 104.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Yes | 86.0¢ | — | 33 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 23, 2026? | No | 13.0¢ | — | 32.78 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | — | 98.8¢ | 0 | 489 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | 69.5¢ | 92.9¢ | 287.57 | 286 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 27.5¢ | 10.6¢ | 306.6 | 286 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 83.2¢ | 88.5¢ | 1,042.25 | 1,365 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 14.4¢ | 1,030.34 | 1,413.41 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 39.2¢ | 157.59 | 1,755.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 66.9¢ | 70.0¢ | 155.99 | 1,771.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | 64.7¢ | 83.0¢ | 289.92 | 389.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 33.0¢ | 21.4¢ | 279.28 | 389.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |