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Top 10 - 30DTop 50 - 90D

7.8

/ 10 · 90D

Orca

Class · est. size $90.5K

Telemetry Window

30-Day Window9.3 SIG

Edge / share: +16.4¢ · 47 resolved
Hit rate: 57.4%
Net P/L · Vol: $4K / $24.9K
% return: +15.7%
Observations: 61

90-Day Window7.8 SIG

Edge / share: +8.6¢ · 305 resolved
Hit rate: 70.0%
Net P/L · Vol: $10.3K / $90.5K
% return: +11.3%
Observations: 333

Dive Profile

Net Catch · 90D

+$10,297

Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace

Current Positions

open holdings · marked to market

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg Entry	Current	Value	Unrealized P/L
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4,000	5.4¢	5.7¢	$226	+$10
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	1,586.44	26.2¢	25.5¢	$405	-$12
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	1,000	92.3¢	92.0¢	$921	-$2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	433.83	3.8¢	1.8¢	$8	-$9
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	396.43	4.0¢	8.1¢	$32	+$16
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	322.08	2.1¢	2.2¢	$7	+$0
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	64.4	27.1¢	40.5¢	$26	+$9

Trade History

grouped by position · click to expand fills

	Market	Outcome	Avg Entry	Avg Exit	Bought	Sold	Last
▸	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	5.7¢	4.2¢	2,034.99	1,601.16	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	27.1¢	—	64.4	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	26.2¢	—	1,586.44	0	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	37.7¢	16.8¢	310	512.57	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10.3¢	14.0¢	1,334.21	2,680.77	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	36.0¢	46.0¢	999.99	999.99	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	80.9¢	83.4¢	5,223.24	4,223.24	Jun 22, 2026
▸	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	58.8¢	81.4¢	1,546.52	1,546.52	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	No	37.0¢	39.0¢	100	99.99	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	6.3¢	7.6¢	2,539.32	2,539.32	Jun 21, 2026
▸	Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	No	12.0¢	—	1,000	0	Jun 20, 2026
▸	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	73.1¢	73.4¢	673.08	673.07	Jun 20, 2026
▸	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	48.0¢	48.6¢	1,000	1,000	Jun 19, 2026
▸	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	15.7¢	15.0¢	300	300	Jun 18, 2026
▸	Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	Yes	80.8¢	82.9¢	4,030	4,030	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	27.8¢	40.8¢	1,541.99	1,541.99	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	4.0¢	—	396.43	0	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	75.3¢	77.4¢	3,000	3,000	Jun 17, 2026
▸	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	Yes	14.2¢	11.8¢	821.63	821.63	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	No	16.0¢	18.1¢	300	300	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	11.0¢	11.0¢	15.17	15.15	Jun 17, 2026
▸	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	61.0¢	—	100	0	Jun 16, 2026
▸	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	27.0¢	25.3¢	194.61	200	Jun 15, 2026
▸	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?	Yes	—	3.3¢	0	10.01	Jun 15, 2026
▸	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	—	30.0¢	0	374.2	Jun 15, 2026