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0x165e...f5aa
0x165ed327dd594bfe95a5a9836cad385813cff5aa
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/ 10 · 90D
Unclassed
Class · est. size $140.4K
30-Day Window6.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.5¢ · 62 resolved
- Hit rate
- 76.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$161.3 / $63.8K
- % return
- -2.3%
- Observations
- 76
90-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.6¢ · 267 resolved
- Hit rate
- 68.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $1.6K / $140.4K
- % return
- +0.2%
- Observations
- 282
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$7,009
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 3,274.62 | 80.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $2,440 | -$198 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2,199 | 67.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,990 | +$517 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,885.98 | 46.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,631 | +$756 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | No | 1,666.76 | 93.1¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,638 | +$86 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1,600 | 63.0¢ | 54.5¢ | $872 | -$136 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 776.99 | 17.4¢ | 15.4¢ | $120 | -$15 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | No | 706.79 | 60.8¢ | 63.5¢ | $449 | +$19 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? | No | 569.57 | 92.0¢ | 97.5¢ | $556 | +$32 |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | No | 414.73 | 85.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $403 | +$50 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? | No | 362.71 | 71.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $328 | +$69 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026? | No | 353.36 | 78.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $330 | +$52 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 329.45 | 65.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $252 | +$35 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30? | No | 286.77 | 63.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $254 | +$71 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? | No | 284.21 | 76.0¢ | 98.0¢ | $279 | +$63 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026? | No | 252.72 | 85.1¢ | 97.6¢ | $247 | +$32 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 19.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $66 | +$17 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? | No | 222 | 78.0¢ | 97.4¢ | $216 | +$43 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 221.99 | 63.0¢ | 68.5¢ | $152 | +$12 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 219.49 | 61.6¢ | 74.0¢ | $162 | +$27 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.46 | 74.0¢ | 79.5¢ | $167 | +$12 |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | No | 153.17 | 79.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $137 | +$15 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30? | No | 142 | 93.0¢ | 98.6¢ | $140 | +$8 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? | No | 140.97 | 92.9¢ | 99.4¢ | $140 | +$9 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 113.03 | 57.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $63 | -$2 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | No | 53.32 | 89.1¢ | 99.3¢ | $53 | +$5 |
| Will Russia enter Borova by June 30? | No | 43.82 | 89.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $42 | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally? | Yes | 43 | 53.0¢ | 53.5¢ | $23 | +$0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.15 | 63.0¢ | 46.5¢ | $2 | -$1 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally? | Yes | 53.0¢ | — | 43 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 330.28 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | — | 77.0¢ | 0 | 479.14 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | No | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 128.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | No | 58.0¢ | — | 9,220.59 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 11.7¢ | 2,193.93 | 282 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30? | No | — | 89.0¢ | 0 | 1,120.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 96.4¢ | 0 | 433.62 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 97.8¢ | 0 | 608.92 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 87.0¢ | 0 | 362.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | 60.7¢ | 79.8¢ | 402.16 | 402.15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 4.6¢ | — | 13,559.81 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | No | — | 38.0¢ | 0 | 597.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? | No | 76.0¢ | — | 284.21 | 0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 1.4¢ | — | 3,398.87 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 87.0¢ | 0 | 1,666.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 888 | 887.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 4,201.47 | 0 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 1.0¢ | — | 7,800 | 0 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | No | — | 95.5¢ | 0 | 2,976.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | No | — | 73.0¢ | 0 | 399.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |