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0x0dcc...d87c
0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c
5.3
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $115K
30-Day Window7.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +14.9¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 86.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $8.5K / $47K
- % return
- +15.5%
- Observations
- 30
90-Day Window5.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.7¢ · 58 resolved
- Hit rate
- 79.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $5.3K / $115K
- % return
- +3.5%
- Observations
- 74
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$4,899
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 6,882.96 | 82.4¢ | 92.8¢ | $6,384 | +$713 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 5,718.87 | 66.3¢ | 76.5¢ | $4,375 | +$584 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,499.1 | 52.6¢ | 54.5¢ | $817 | +$28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 389.99 | 76.0¢ | 70.5¢ | $275 | -$21 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200.29 | 30.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $31 | -$30 |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30? | Yes | 33.15 | 78.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$26 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 82.9¢ | 90.5¢ | 14,258.23 | 10,026.87 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 66.3¢ | 73.7¢ | 6,974.52 | 1,255.64 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | — | 52.9¢ | 0 | 3,432.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | No | 91.2¢ | 94.7¢ | 4,483.21 | 6,937.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 76.0¢ | — | 389.99 | 0 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | — | 72.0¢ | 0 | 254.04 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 91.2¢ | 98.3¢ | 275.29 | 1,117.17 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 87.7¢ | 89.0¢ | 832.26 | 832.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 68.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 495.84 | 2,345.84 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | No | — | 94.2¢ | 0 | 544.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 145.96 | 145.95 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | No | 87.0¢ | 98.6¢ | 137.71 | 137.71 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | — | 39.5¢ | 0 | 1,074.22 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | — | 77.0¢ | 0 | 100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | Yes | — | 10.0¢ | 0 | 149.01 | Jun 10, 2026 |