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0x0099...386e
0x009983e518edb011dd118470ee533f7c3863386e
4.6
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $188.9K
30-Day Window7.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.9¢ · 92 resolved
- Hit rate
- 61.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $10.2K / $127.2K
- % return
- +8.0%
- Observations
- 104
90-Day Window4.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.5¢ · 147 resolved
- Hit rate
- 61.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $16.5K / $188.9K
- % return
- +8.7%
- Observations
- 165
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
+$19,911
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 22.2¢ | 29.5¢ | $590 | +$145 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 1,900.33 | 10.0¢ | 3.0¢ | $57 | -$132 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 845 | 10.0¢ | 7.2¢ | $61 | -$23 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 500.02 | 4.0¢ | 6.5¢ | $33 | +$12 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 21.6¢ | 500 | 499.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 22.3¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 87.3¢ | 91.1¢ | 1,600 | 1,600 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | — | 77.8¢ | 0 | 1,503.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 29.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 700 | 435 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 43.7¢ | 681.02 | 2,031.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | No | 28.7¢ | — | 1,600 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | Yes | 35.9¢ | — | 505.47 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 18.3¢ | 1,499.99 | 540 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | — | 99.7¢ | 0 | 1,300 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 91.2¢ | 0 | 955.94 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 83.8¢ | 95.5¢ | 1,193.32 | 1,693.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 85.0¢ | — | 700 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 35.3¢ | 0 | 1,124.99 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | No | 25.8¢ | 31.7¢ | 1,863.84 | 1,009.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | No | 92.3¢ | — | 1,600 | 0 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 44.7¢ | 31.4¢ | 2,100 | 1,500 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | — | 9.3¢ | 0 | 800 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 33.6¢ | 500 | 1,532.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 96.6¢ | 0 | 1,549.43 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 98.4¢ | 0 | 1,900.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | — | 15.1¢ | 0 | 4,699.96 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | — | 11.9¢ | 0 | 374.97 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Yes | — | 41.0¢ | 0 | 1,000 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.4¢ | 5.8¢ | 5,000 | 5,700 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.7¢ | 5.8¢ | 2,300 | 5,624.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 7.7¢ | 3.0¢ | 2,882.65 | 3,382.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 11.1¢ | 5.0¢ | 2,299.99 | 4,213.94 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | — | 65.0¢ | 0 | 350 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | — | 82.0¢ | 0 | 200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | — | 97.0¢ | 0 | 1,400.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | No | 10.8¢ | — | 1,099 | 0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Yes | — | 72.0¢ | 0 | 1.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |