SportsLiveResolves Dec 6, 2026

F1 Drivers' Champion

View on Polymarket

YES Price

60.7¢

implied probability

24h Drift

-0.1¢

day-over-day

Volatility

2.5¢

daily price swing (σ)

Liquidity

$13.7M

order-book depth

24h Volume

$261.4K

traded last day

Smart $ Net

-$0.1

tracked buy − sell

Tracked Wallets

1 YES · 0 NO

Top Holder

100%

of tracked capital

Price History

Kimi AntonelliLewis HamiltonGeorge RussellWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 5 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

1 tracked fill

Tracked smart money is net selling ($0 net), leaning YES. Largest single move: peepeehua sold $0 YES at 60¢ on Jun 22.

SELLYESpeepeehua#3360¢$0.1Jun 22

Holder Concentration

peepeehua#33

100.0%$98.5

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K

−$5K…−$1K

−$1K…−$100

≈ flat

$100…$1K

$1K…$5K

≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net -$8 across 1 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount100% / 0%

one wallet, one vote

By capital100% / 0%

weighted by committed $

By skill100% / 0%

weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills

	Contact	Side	State	Size	Avg Entry	Value	P/L	First Buy	Last Trade
▸	@peepeehua Rank #338.0 SIG	YES	closed	1,716.6	5.7¢	—	-$8 -8.2%	Jun 22, 2026	Jun 22, 2026