
France vs. Iraq - More Markets
View on PolymarketPrice History
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 2 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net buying ($1.9K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: Aleks100 bought $1.9K YES at 97¢ on Jun 22.
- BUYYESAleks100#3797¢$1.9KJun 22
- BUYYESAleks100#3797¢$36Jun 22
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net $53 across 1 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | @Aleks100 Rank #377.9 SIG | YES | open | 2,000 | 97.3¢ | $1,999 | +$53 +2.7% | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 |