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SportsLiveResolves Jun 22, 2026

France vs. Iraq - More Markets

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100.0¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
8.5¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$5.2M
order-book depth
24h Volume
$25.7M
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$1.9K
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
1
1 YES · 0 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital

Price History

O/U 0.5O/U 2.5France (-1.5)Whale buyWhale sellRegime shift
47¢60¢74¢87¢100¢May 22Jun 1Jun 12Jun 23BUY YES · Aleks100BUY YES · Aleks100

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 2 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

2 tracked fills

Tracked smart money is net buying ($1.9K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: Aleks100 bought $1.9K YES at 97¢ on Jun 22.

Holder Concentration

Aleks100#37
100.0%$1.9K

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K
−$5K…−$1K
−$1K…−$100
1
≈ flat
$100…$1K
$1K…$5K
≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net $53 across 1 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount100% / 0%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill100% / 0%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills
ContactSideStateSizeAvg EntryValueP/LFirst BuyLast Trade
@Aleks100
Rank #377.9 SIG
YESopen2,00097.3¢$1,999+$53 +2.7%Jun 22, 2026Jun 22, 2026