What will happen before GTA VI?
View on PolymarketYES Price
54.5¢
implied probability
24h Drift
-1.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
2.4¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$644.6K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$42.3K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
3
1 YES · 2 NO
Top Holder
85%
of tracked capital
Price History
Russia-Ukraine CeasefireDrake releases IcemanNew Playboi Carti Album Whale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 13 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.74). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 2 winning, 1 losing (win rate 67%); net $3K across 3 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount33% / 67%
one wallet, one vote
By capital85% / 15%
weighted by committed $
By skill31% / 69%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbd27...2807 Rank #139.5 SIG | NO | closed | 1,000 | 46.0¢ | — | -$460 -100.0% | May 7, 2026 | May 14, 2026 | |
| 0x02a1...dd72 Rank #617.4 SIG | YES | closed | 9,728.23 | 51.5¢ | — | +$3,274 +65.4% | May 1, 2026 | May 9, 2026 | |
| @Frigg Rank #717.2 SIG | NO | closed | 1,387.37 | 29.0¢ | — | +$222 +55.2% | — | Jan 19, 2026 |