Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
View on PolymarketYES Price
99.0¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
3.8¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$328.1K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$49.4K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
-$71.6
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
2
1 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital
Price History
No meeting by June 30RussiaUnited StatesWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 9 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Holder Concentration
cry.eth2#44
99.5%$3.6K
42021#86
0.5%$17.1
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.99). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $2.9K across 2 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount50% / 50%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill54% / 46%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.