World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
View on PolymarketYES Price
100.0¢
implied probability
24h Drift
+3.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
3.2¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$884.7K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$1.2M
traded last day
Smart $ Net
—
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
—
0 YES · 0 NO
Top Holder
—
of tracked capital
Price History
MexicoUSAGermanyWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 2 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
No sized positions to rank.
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold — of tracked capital (HHI —). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
No participant P/L is available for this market.
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. No P/L data available.
Smart-Money Lean
No tracked wallets in this market, so there is no smart-money signal to weigh.
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
No tracked wallets hold a position here — user-level insights become available once a leaderboard wallet trades this market.