Berlin State Election Winner
View on PolymarketYES Price
35.0¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
2.4¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$251.2K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$2.1K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
1
1 YES · 0 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital
Price History
CDUGrüneLinkeWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 8 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
cry.eth2#44
100.0%$100
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net $95.8 across 1 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount100% / 0%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill100% / 0%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @cry.eth2 Rank #447.5 SIG | YES | open | 559.38 | 17.9¢ | $196 | +$96 +95.9% | — | — |