MoviesLiveResolves Jun 30, 2026

Next James Bond actor?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

91.5¢

implied probability

24h Drift

0.0¢

day-over-day

Volatility

5.2¢

daily price swing (σ)

Liquidity

$203.5K

order-book depth

24h Volume

$22K

traded last day

Smart $ Net

-$84.6

tracked buy − sell

Tracked Wallets

1 YES · 0 NO

Top Holder

—

of tracked capital

Price History

No Bond chosenCallum TurnerAaron Taylor-JohnsonWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 14 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

6 tracked fills

Tracked smart money is net selling ($85 net), leaning YES. Largest single move: cry.eth2 sold $20 YES at 95¢ on Jun 19.

SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$20Jun 19
SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$20Jun 19
SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$15Jun 19
SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$14.3Jun 19
SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$9.6Jun 19
SELLYEScry.eth2#4495¢$5.7Jun 19

Holder Concentration

No sized positions to rank.

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold — of tracked capital (HHI —). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

No participant P/L is available for this market.

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. No P/L data available.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount100% / 0%

one wallet, one vote

By capital0% / 100%

weighted by committed $

By skill100% / 0%

weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills

	Contact	Side	State	Size	Avg Entry	Value	P/L	First Buy	Last Trade
▸	@cry.eth2 Rank #447.5 SIG	YES	closed	0	—	—	—	Jun 19, 2026	Jun 19, 2026